I despair at the prices for Lincoln Handicap contenders in the current era. Favourites at about 4/1 are so skinny for a race of this nature and I seem to recall Cataldi winning as 10/1 Favourite for Guy Harwood back in the day.
The distance and ground combination would seem against Brentford Hope, a one time Derby hope with soft ground form. As I write this he has just come out the race. Eastern World was a much bigger price before winning in Meydan and no doubt the echoes of Auxerre in 2019 for the same connections are driving his price down. The worry for me is that he was 8/1 after that win and has halved in price without doing anything since. Is his chance really twice as good as it was then?
I refuse to get involved at single figures and I had an ante-post play on Grove Ferry at 20/1, based on a generally progressive profile and the fact that his rating was sufficient to ensure that he got in. He's up 5lbs but has a claimer on this time taking that 5lbs off in effect. All that and he's still bloody 20/1 and totally unfancied. I remain hopeful of a place so 18/1 for seven places each-way seemed fair enough.
3.10 Doncaster Grove Ferry 20/1 win only and 18/1 each-way 7 places.
Good luck fellow suicide players.
The distance and ground combination would seem against Brentford Hope, a one time Derby hope with soft ground form. As I write this he has just come out the race. Eastern World was a much bigger price before winning in Meydan and no doubt the echoes of Auxerre in 2019 for the same connections are driving his price down. The worry for me is that he was 8/1 after that win and has halved in price without doing anything since. Is his chance really twice as good as it was then?
I refuse to get involved at single figures and I had an ante-post play on Grove Ferry at 20/1, based on a generally progressive profile and the fact that his rating was sufficient to ensure that he got in. He's up 5lbs but has a claimer on this time taking that 5lbs off in effect. All that and he's still bloody 20/1 and totally unfancied. I remain hopeful of a place so 18/1 for seven places each-way seemed fair enough.
3.10 Doncaster Grove Ferry 20/1 win only and 18/1 each-way 7 places.
Good luck fellow suicide players.
and 3rd..
