Promotion Tracker 20/21

[Quill]

Wow, Ipswich have a sweet run-in. Sunderland have a tough and crowded one.

With Paul Cook just coming in, I think they're a good shout to make a push at the end of the season. They've got the best run in by far.

 

[Baldrick's Cunning Plan]

As short as 1/7 to be promoted says it's as good as nailed on. Knowing the unpredictability of this club over the years we all know things are never that straightforward.

 

[Brucebones]

Very helpful list of fixtures courtesy of Rick on twitter.

You must log in or register to see images

Just seen it on Twitter, I’ve given Sun’lan 92, Lincoln 83, Peterborough 81 & the Rest on 70’s.
I’m too biased to do ours, but a point v Sun’lan & Lincoln will put us there or there abouts come the title decision.

 

[Chazz Rheinhold]

As short as 1/7 to be promoted says it's as good as nailed on. Knowing the unpredictability of this club over the years we all know things are never that straightforward.

Posters always say this but are we anymore unpredictable than any other middling club?
We’ve not blown lots of cup finals or promotion challenges have we?

 

[Phinius T Bookbinder]

Very helpful list of fixtures courtesy of Rick on twitter.

You must log in or register to see images

If we keep the foot in the gas during the next 4 games we will be well away from 3rd place.

 

[The Omega Man]

We have the same average points per game as Peterborough so the league is ours to lose.

 

[City Man]

5 straight wins is perfect timing and will ramp up the pressure on the chasing pack and demoralise them.

KEEP IT UP HAL.

 

[dennisboothstash]

Never mind all this ‘odds on promotion’ lark ...I’m pretty sure the last game made us mathematically certain to not get relegated?.

Anyway I’ve been celebrating that today (Jamesons and Heineken if your interested...separate glasses)

 

[Chazz Rheinhold]

Never mind all this ‘odds on promotion’ lark ...I’m pretty sure the last game made us mathematically certain to not get relegated?.

Anyway I’ve been celebrating that today (Jamesons and Heineken if your interested...separate glasses)

What size glasses ??

 

[The Omega Man]

Never mind all this ‘odds on promotion’ lark ...I’m pretty sure the last game made us mathematically certain to not get relegated?.

Anyway I’ve been celebrating that today (Jamesons and Heineken if your interested...separate glasses)

Unless we go into administration Den... !!

 

[Edelman]

As it stands we have the highest points per game total ! I think

 

[dennisboothstash]

Unless we go into administration Den... !!

Damn
Let me know when we pass that milestone so I can celebrate again!

 

[dennisboothstash]

What size glasses ??

Heineken in half pints.

...then a pint glass of Jamesons

 

[SydneyTiger14]

Looking ok now lads!

 

[NaNaNa]

Assuming we can keep that PPG the same over the next 10 and Peterborough also keep theirs up we'll shade it by "0.5" points.

Fair play GMc

 

[Stockholm Tiger]

Bookies view of the outright winners..

You must log in or register to see images

 

[tigerscanada]

Assuming we can keep that PPG the same over the next 10 and Peterborough also keep theirs up we'll shade it by "0.5" points.

Fair play GMc

We'd both end up with 86 points, so goal diff. would determine who'd be champs.

 

[City Man]

A\proper analysis would take account of declining points in the second half of the season- most promotion chasers start to flag and very few keep up the 2 points per game ratio after 46 games.

Vindicated.

 

[Tigerite]

More happy reading.

City average 1.71 points a game which historically is good enough to finish 5th.

Points per game table:
1st - Peterborough - 2.00
2nd - Lincoln - 1.97
3rd - Doncaster - 1.81
4th - Portsmouth - 1.76
5th - Sunderland - 1.72
6th - Hull City - 1.71
7th - Accrington - 1.64

Actual table:
1st - Peterborough - P29 - 58pts
2nd - Lincoln - P29 - 57pts
3rd - Hull City - P31 - 53pts
4th - Portsmouth - P29 - 51pts
5th - Sunderland - P29 - 50pts
6th - Doncaster - P27 - 49pts
7th - Accrington - P28 - 46pts

Looking back over the past 15 seasons this is what we need from out remaining 15 games to finish:
1st - 14 wins
2nd - 11 wins, 2 draws
Play-offs - 7 wins

in the end 11 (maybe 12 yet) wins and 3 draws was enough then.