Daily Racing Thread Monday 22nd. June 2020

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stick said:
I had a small EW saver on Smokey at 40/1 last night after watching the re-run for the fourth time!
DILIGENT LADY wasnt given a hard race after her chance had gone and my main two points remain.
1) She will get a clear run tonight
2) She is getting 7lbs for 1.1/2 lengths
Additionally she has no bend to handle tonight.

I am so convinced that I have gone in again!
Click to expand...
I've been going in on this all afternoon, I can't believe the price is still drifting! If this wins I'm going to be very happy, no worries if it doesn't just nice to have something to do!
 
LG said:
I've been going in on this all afternoon, I can't believe the price is still drifting! If this wins I'm going to be very happy, no worries if it doesn't just nice to have something to do!
Click to expand...

8/1 on Bet365, that is not a positive vibe but I am not backing down.
365 going 6/1 for 3 places so had some of that too.
 
stick said:
DILIGENT LADY 5/1 Windsor 5:00
Reopposes the odds on fav Breakfast Club with a 7lb pull for 1.1/2 lengths. That in itself is good enough reason to have a punt.
If you watch their duel at Lingfield you would see that Breakfast Club forced Diligent Lady very wide into the straight but when she picked up again she was flying home. No turns to negotiate here and that will suit her all the better. She did race very much with the choke out in the early stages that day and settling better would be very much a bonus but she has the speed in the pedigree to take this from the front.
The trainer thinks a lot of this one and has had some serious success with the family.
Breakfast Club was an expensive yearling and his price is based around expectation of improvement to come but on the revised terms there should certainly not be such a disparity in their respective prices. The 5/1 is an absolute standout and I will be amazed if Diligent Lady returns at any more than 5/2, it will be a worry if she does!

Good luck if you play.
Click to expand...

Wow. Pissed it very well done mate
 
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stick said:
DILIGENT LADY 5/1 Windsor 5:00
Reopposes the odds on fav Breakfast Club with a 7lb pull for 1.1/2 lengths. That in itself is good enough reason to have a punt.
If you watch their duel at Lingfield you would see that Breakfast Club forced Diligent Lady very wide into the straight but when she picked up again she was flying home. No turns to negotiate here and that will suit her all the better. She did race very much with the choke out in the early stages that day and settling better would be very much a bonus but she has the speed in the pedigree to take this from the front.
The trainer thinks a lot of this one and has had some serious success with the family.
Breakfast Club was an expensive yearling and his price is based around expectation of improvement to come but on the revised terms there should certainly not be such a disparity in their respective prices. The 5/1 is an absolute standout and I will be amazed if Diligent Lady returns at any more than 5/2, it will be a worry if she does!

Good luck if you play.
Click to expand...

BOOOOOOOOOOM, nice and easy Stick
 
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stick said:
DILIGENT LADY 5/1 Windsor 5:00
Reopposes the odds on fav Breakfast Club with a 7lb pull for 1.1/2 lengths. That in itself is good enough reason to have a punt.
If you watch their duel at Lingfield you would see that Breakfast Club forced Diligent Lady very wide into the straight but when she picked up again she was flying home. No turns to negotiate here and that will suit her all the better. She did race very much with the choke out in the early stages that day and settling better would be very much a bonus but she has the speed in the pedigree to take this from the front.
The trainer thinks a lot of this one and has had some serious success with the family.
Breakfast Club was an expensive yearling and his price is based around expectation of improvement to come but on the revised terms there should certainly not be such a disparity in their respective prices. The 5/1 is an absolute standout and I will be amazed if Diligent Lady returns at any more than 5/2, it will be a worry if she does!

Good luck if you play.
Click to expand...

Hosed up well done
 
Well done, Stick! <ok>

(Bit late posting but I think I'll have a quiet little BOOM myself with Reassurance!)
 
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stick said:
DILIGENT LADY 5/1 Windsor 5:00
Reopposes the odds on fav Breakfast Club with a 7lb pull for 1.1/2 lengths. That in itself is good enough reason to have a punt.
If you watch their duel at Lingfield you would see that Breakfast Club forced Diligent Lady very wide into the straight but when she picked up again she was flying home. No turns to negotiate here and that will suit her all the better. She did race very much with the choke out in the early stages that day and settling better would be very much a bonus but she has the speed in the pedigree to take this from the front.
The trainer thinks a lot of this one and has had some serious success with the family.
Breakfast Club was an expensive yearling and his price is based around expectation of improvement to come but on the revised terms there should certainly not be such a disparity in their respective prices. The 5/1 is an absolute standout and I will be amazed if Diligent Lady returns at any more than 5/2, it will be a worry if she does!

Good luck if you play.
Click to expand...
That was class thank you
 
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That was a one horse race. The bookies and most punters were clueless there. Breakfast Club was odds-on in some places early doors but by the time he finished his race they needed to rename the horse Supper Club. 11/10 for Dark Kris was ridiculous. A maiden dropping in trip from a mile to 5F and a trainer who is 0/33 and 0% has to have been the worst value in a long time. You could use this race as an example to teach punters about the value in the odds they are taking. You need to be sure about ticking boxes to make sure everything is right for backing horses at short prices. Those boxes were not ticked today but most punters could not get enough of Dark Kris at a silly price.

Good shout Stick and perhaps a lesson that sometimes a drift in price need not be a disaster.
 
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