Daily Racing Thread Thursday 29th. Nov. 2018

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Kalahari Queen 3/1 up at ayr , gets weight off the fav ,but has the ability to ruffle the jolly .
Storm Control was fancied at carlisle last time but didn't fire , runs in a handicap at warwick 10/1

Tom Lacey unleashing another bumper winner ? <laugh>:emoticon-0102-bigsm
 
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Morning

5.45 Chelmsford City-Angel Of Darkness

Each Way @ 16-1 [Paddy Power]

Could surprise
 
As usual I had a good long look at the bumper last night and it was my conclusion that L'INCORRIGIBLE was the one. Comes from a dam that has produced three winners including the smart Cosmeapolitan. One of her three winners won a bumper and taking into account yard bumper form, current form and track form then I feel the Tom Lacey horse is the most likely winner.
Henderson has the favourite but for me the flat pedigree looks like this one will struggle to see out the trip. I wonder if there is a back story to this one as I am surprised that it would have been purchased with bumpers in mind.
Alan King has a fine record in bumpers and at the track and he saddles two. Arkyn has had a run and I think will appreciate the softer ground. I prefer the pedigree of his other entry Perfect Predator but he doesnt strike me as one to be ready first time up.
A couple of interesting ones at bigger prices for small stakes EW players. Firstly, Noble Saffron (25/1)who shaped quite encouragingly on debut having being given a nice introductory ride. He could be ready to improve on his second start. The big negative is that the yard simply do not have bumper winners. The other one is the John Ryan trained Dont Think So (100/1). The yard dont often send horses out in bumpers but they have an excellent record when they do. It is quite eyecatching that they have booked Paddy Brennan for the ride. That said its debut run was simply awful so maybe Mr Ryan just likes getting good jockeys for his no hopers.

Conclusion; L'INCORRIGIBLE win
NOBLE SAFFRON small ew NON RUNNER
 
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A mere 10 from the notebook run today. Most of which seem well supported. Need to squirrel off and see which ones take my fancy!
 
stick said:
Henderson has the favourite but for me the flat pedigree looks like this one will struggle to see out the trip. I wonder if there is a back story to this one as I am surprised that it would have been purchased with bumpers in mind.
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Was in training with Clive Cox prior to the move to Seven Barrows. Agree though that Twist (we all know what we will be crooning if this one obliges, don’t we regular readers?!? What, what!) does have a very Flat pedigree. Although what a bally pedigree, albeit it at much shorter distances – half sister to the Group winner Queen Catrine and the dam is a half-sister to Group 1 winner, Tamarisk. Current quotes of 7/4 are very, very short though.

I too am an admirer of old boy Tom Lacey who incidentally has stated that his recent Ascot Bumper winner, Hazzaar, will be aimed at the Grade 1 Tolworth with a debut run over hurdles prior to this. Re his L’incorrigible the Lieutenant used to train his half-brother (Carabinier) who he won 3 heats with.
 
Sir Barney Chuckles said:
Was in training with Clive Cox prior to the move to Seven Barrows. Agree though that Twist (we all know what we will be crooning if this one obliges, don’t we regular readers?!? What, what!) does have a very Flat pedigree. Although what a bally pedigree, albeit it at much shorter distances – half sister to the Group winner Queen Catrine and the dam is a half-sister to Group 1 winner, Tamarisk. Current quotes of 7/4 are very, very short though.

I too am an admirer of old boy Tom Lacey who incidentally has stated that his recent Ascot Bumper winner, Hazzaar, will be aimed at the Grade 1 Tolworth with a debut run over hurdles prior to this. Re his L’incorrigible the Lieutenant used to train his half-brother (Carabinier) who he won 3 heats with.
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Cheers Barney. I knew if anyone was going to know it would be you. Obviously too backward for the flat and I wouldnt mind taking a punt that it is still as green as the Highbury turf today.
Carabinier went off favourite for both his bumpers and was pretty well beaten. Another half-brother, Jubalani, did win his though.
 
stick said:
Are you allowed to have an opinion without giving any concise rationale <laugh>
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Can you no longer say then that you have backed one simply because it’s the filly with the loveliest name? I await clarification from the powers that be…

Incidentally, I was most distressed to see that the Lieutenant has a mare, in his ranks, monikered Loveherandleaveher (ironically owned by the same chap who owns today’s much debated animal, Twist – now that is a lovely name for a gelding). Not a lovely name for a mare, methinks. In fact I was so shocked I had to go and lie down in the sick bay for half an hour.
 
Sir Barney Chuckles said:
Can you no longer say then that you have backed one simply because it’s the filly with the loveliest name? I await clarification from the powers that be…

Incidentally, I was most distressed to see that the Lieutenant has a mare, in his ranks, monikered Loveherandleaveher (ironically owned by the same chap who owns today’s much debated animal, Twist – now that is a lovely name for a gelding). Not a lovely name for a mare, methinks. In fact I was so shocked I had to go and lie down in the sick bay for half an hour.
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Of course the most reliable strategy for picking winners is, of course, horses named after Corrie characters <ok>
 
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Done 10 patents today between us, and a very very modest e/w single. All with skybet BOG.

ME:
1205 War - Captain drake 10/3 (1/5 3)
1235 War - Wilde Spirit 16/1 (1/5 3)
145 War - Storm Control 9/1 (1/5 4) 10+ runners

320 War - Perfect Predator 14/1 (1/5 3)
155 Ayr - Buffalo Ballet 11/1 (1/5 3)
300 Ayr - Herecomesnelson 14/1 (1/4 3)

1225 Taunton - Represented 5/1 (1/5 3)
100 Taunton - Bang On 5/1 (1/5 3)
135 Taunton - Farm The Rock 3/1 (1/4 2)


240 Taunton - Bodes Well 15/2 (1/4 3)
500 Kempton - Sing Out Loud 14/1 (1/5 3)
530 Kempton - Blowing Dixie 12/1 (1/5 3)


615 Chelms - Painted Dream 9/1 (1/5 3)
645 Chelms - Ifyoudontmind 13/2 (1/4 3)
715 Chelms - Seeusoon 10/1 (1/5 3)


50p e/w single
6310 Kempton - Nautical Haven 40/1 (1/4 3)


The missus:
110 War - Windspiel 4/1 (1/5 3)
215 War - Youknowell 7/4 (i/5 3)
250 War - What larks 7/2 (1/5 3)

1210 Ayr - Ride The Lightning 6/1 (1/5 3)
1245 Ayr - Dark Ruler 18/1 (1/5 3)
120 Ayr - Mighty Thunder 11/4 (1/5 3)


205 Taun - Forgot to Ask 7/1 (1/5 3)
310 Taun - Midnight Mustang 12/1 (1/5 3)
345 Taun - Norse Light 25/1 (1/5 4) 10+ runners


700 Kemp - Dark Alliance 22/1 (1/5 4 ) 10+ runners
730 Kemp - Tigerfish 15/2 (1/4 3)
800 Kemp - Woggle 8/1 (1/4 3)


745 Chelm - Samphire Coast 9/1 (1/5 4 ) 10+ runners
815 Chelm - Mischievous Rock 50/1 (1/4 3)
845 Chelm - Autumn Leaves 11/1 (1/4 3)


Fingers crossed that our darts were thrown straight today <whistle>
 
In the 1.45 there looks to be a very nice fav who should take all the beating,was 2nd to palmers hill at cheltenham.Jockey takes off 7lb so looks to be well in here.Oh yea its called Unblinking!
 
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