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Daily Racing Thread Thursday 29th. Nov. 2018

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Nov 28, 2018.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Thursday's Meetings

    Warwick
    N/H 7 Races 12:05-3:20p.m.
    Ayr
    N/H 7 Races 12:10-3:30p.m.
    Thurles
    N/H 7 Races 12:15-3:35p.m.
    Taunton
    N/H 7 Races 12:25-3:45p.m.
    Kempton(E)
    A/W 8 Races 4:30-8:00p.m.
    Chelmsford(E)
    A/W 7 Races 5:45-8:45p.m.

    Racecards
    At The Races

    Racing Post
    Sporting Life

    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
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  2. DBWONDERLAND

    DBWONDERLAND Member

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    Hello guys been a while since i posted here! I like one at kempton in the 6.30 the horse is Nautical Haven currently 40/1 on betfair i see.....Heres hoping lol :emoticon-0100-smile
     
    #2
  3. woolcombe-folly007

    woolcombe-folly007 Well-Known Member

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    Can see why you like him but bloody hell thats brave backing a horse this early on coming out the best yard!!
     
    #3
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  4. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Another one that we in the lifeboat crew have had a flutter on
     
    #4
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  5. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

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    Kalahari Queen 3/1 up at ayr , gets weight off the fav ,but has the ability to ruffle the jolly .
    Storm Control was fancied at carlisle last time but didn't fire , runs in a handicap at warwick 10/1

    Tom Lacey unleashing another bumper winner ? <laugh>:emoticon-0102-bigsm
     
    #5
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  6. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    Good trainer is Tom Lacey
     
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  7. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    Morning

    5.45 Chelmsford City-Angel Of Darkness

    Each Way @ 16-1 [Paddy Power]

    Could surprise
     
    #7
  8. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    As usual I had a good long look at the bumper last night and it was my conclusion that L'INCORRIGIBLE was the one. Comes from a dam that has produced three winners including the smart Cosmeapolitan. One of her three winners won a bumper and taking into account yard bumper form, current form and track form then I feel the Tom Lacey horse is the most likely winner.
    Henderson has the favourite but for me the flat pedigree looks like this one will struggle to see out the trip. I wonder if there is a back story to this one as I am surprised that it would have been purchased with bumpers in mind.
    Alan King has a fine record in bumpers and at the track and he saddles two. Arkyn has had a run and I think will appreciate the softer ground. I prefer the pedigree of his other entry Perfect Predator but he doesnt strike me as one to be ready first time up.
    A couple of interesting ones at bigger prices for small stakes EW players. Firstly, Noble Saffron (25/1)who shaped quite encouragingly on debut having being given a nice introductory ride. He could be ready to improve on his second start. The big negative is that the yard simply do not have bumper winners. The other one is the John Ryan trained Dont Think So (100/1). The yard dont often send horses out in bumpers but they have an excellent record when they do. It is quite eyecatching that they have booked Paddy Brennan for the ride. That said its debut run was simply awful so maybe Mr Ryan just likes getting good jockeys for his no hopers.

    Conclusion; L'INCORRIGIBLE win
    NOBLE SAFFRON small ew NON RUNNER
     
    #8
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2018
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  9. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    A mere 10 from the notebook run today. Most of which seem well supported. Need to squirrel off and see which ones take my fancy!
     
    #9
  10. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Was in training with Clive Cox prior to the move to Seven Barrows. Agree though that Twist (we all know what we will be crooning if this one obliges, don’t we regular readers?!? What, what!) does have a very Flat pedigree. Although what a bally pedigree, albeit it at much shorter distances – half sister to the Group winner Queen Catrine and the dam is a half-sister to Group 1 winner, Tamarisk. Current quotes of 7/4 are very, very short though.

    I too am an admirer of old boy Tom Lacey who incidentally has stated that his recent Ascot Bumper winner, Hazzaar, will be aimed at the Grade 1 Tolworth with a debut run over hurdles prior to this. Re his L’incorrigible the Lieutenant used to train his half-brother (Carabinier) who he won 3 heats with.
     
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  11. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Cheers Barney. I knew if anyone was going to know it would be you. Obviously too backward for the flat and I wouldnt mind taking a punt that it is still as green as the Highbury turf today.
    Carabinier went off favourite for both his bumpers and was pretty well beaten. Another half-brother, Jubalani, did win his though.
     
    #11
  12. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Perfect Predator e/w for me boys and girls
     
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  13. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Are you allowed to have an opinion without giving any concise rationale <laugh>
     
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  14. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    I like the look of him on paper <laugh>
     
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  15. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Bloody pinsticker
     
    #15
  16. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Sorry OddDog. I've put that in one of my patents.
    Apologies if I've put the mockers on it already
     
    #16
  17. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Can you no longer say then that you have backed one simply because it’s the filly with the loveliest name? I await clarification from the powers that be…

    Incidentally, I was most distressed to see that the Lieutenant has a mare, in his ranks, monikered Loveherandleaveher (ironically owned by the same chap who owns today’s much debated animal, Twist – now that is a lovely name for a gelding). Not a lovely name for a mare, methinks. In fact I was so shocked I had to go and lie down in the sick bay for half an hour.
     
    #17
  18. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Of course the most reliable strategy for picking winners is, of course, horses named after Corrie characters <ok>
     
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  19. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Done 10 patents today between us, and a very very modest e/w single. All with skybet BOG.

    ME:
    1205 War - Captain drake 10/3 (1/5 3)
    1235 War - Wilde Spirit 16/1 (1/5 3)
    145 War - Storm Control 9/1 (1/5 4) 10+ runners

    320 War - Perfect Predator 14/1 (1/5 3)
    155 Ayr - Buffalo Ballet 11/1 (1/5 3)
    300 Ayr - Herecomesnelson 14/1 (1/4 3)

    1225 Taunton - Represented 5/1 (1/5 3)
    100 Taunton - Bang On 5/1 (1/5 3)
    135 Taunton - Farm The Rock 3/1 (1/4 2)


    240 Taunton - Bodes Well 15/2 (1/4 3)
    500 Kempton - Sing Out Loud 14/1 (1/5 3)
    530 Kempton - Blowing Dixie 12/1 (1/5 3)


    615 Chelms - Painted Dream 9/1 (1/5 3)
    645 Chelms - Ifyoudontmind 13/2 (1/4 3)
    715 Chelms - Seeusoon 10/1 (1/5 3)


    50p e/w single
    6310 Kempton - Nautical Haven 40/1 (1/4 3)


    The missus:
    110 War - Windspiel 4/1 (1/5 3)
    215 War - Youknowell 7/4 (i/5 3)
    250 War - What larks 7/2 (1/5 3)

    1210 Ayr - Ride The Lightning 6/1 (1/5 3)
    1245 Ayr - Dark Ruler 18/1 (1/5 3)
    120 Ayr - Mighty Thunder 11/4 (1/5 3)


    205 Taun - Forgot to Ask 7/1 (1/5 3)
    310 Taun - Midnight Mustang 12/1 (1/5 3)
    345 Taun - Norse Light 25/1 (1/5 4) 10+ runners


    700 Kemp - Dark Alliance 22/1 (1/5 4 ) 10+ runners
    730 Kemp - Tigerfish 15/2 (1/4 3)
    800 Kemp - Woggle 8/1 (1/4 3)


    745 Chelm - Samphire Coast 9/1 (1/5 4 ) 10+ runners
    815 Chelm - Mischievous Rock 50/1 (1/4 3)
    845 Chelm - Autumn Leaves 11/1 (1/4 3)


    Fingers crossed that our darts were thrown straight today <whistle>
     
    #19
  20. DBWONDERLAND

    DBWONDERLAND Member

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    In the 1.45 there looks to be a very nice fav who should take all the beating,was 2nd to palmers hill at cheltenham.Jockey takes off 7lb so looks to be well in here.Oh yea its called Unblinking!
     
    #20
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2018

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