probably them though since they had a decent starting majority and they just will
just think polls show me that in 2015 the tories had about 36/7% in 215 and ended up taking 37.8% of vote. Every poll i've seen had then on 42-44% solid vote while this labour vote has risen from 25% up.
I just think that tells me the tories have a very solid vote and will increase thier seats
http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-39856354
For ORB tonight's poll will be their last of the campaign. Their final figures are CON 45%, LAB 36%, LD 8% and UKIP 4%.
31 May update: How close is the gap now?
After their striking seat projection published last night, YouGov has a new poll this evening which has the narrowest gap between the main two parties so far during the campaign. It has the Conservatives on 42% and Labour on 39% - their highest rating in any poll since 2014.
It's not all good news for Labour though. Kantar Public also published a poll on Wednesday with a slightly increased Conservative lead compared to their previous poll. They now have the Conservatives on 43% and Labour on 33%.
Its not the only company which still shows a large gap. In fact, it's more than 10% according to ICM and ComRes.
The main reason for this disparity is the different ways that the pollsters estimate turnout.
Polling companies are sometimes accused of "herding" - manipulating their figures so they all say the same thing. Nobody could accuse them of that at this election. If anything, the differences have become more stark as we approach election day.
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IMO theres not enough undecideds there but most have agreed consistently the torys have 42%+ = majority in first past post
The labour vote swings wildly in polls and i just can't really believe it.
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Prediction:
Tories 350 (thats a big gain btw)
Labour 217
Libs 12
UKIP
Green 2?
SNP 48
Plaid (the welsh idiots

) 3
Ulster unionists of whatever persuasion. 8
Ulster nationalists (in terrorists) 9
Some mad loony. 1 or 2.
Majority = 60 the swings and roundabouts could be +/-10 seats swinging between the two big parties
Really the thing is the rest don't matter that are hard seats largely, perhaps in Scotland a couple her or there but they are predictable
So its either seat to troy or seat to labour. Majoriy today = 17 off 38% of vote. tories IMO have 42% now. so majority increases.
Please note all best are off if there is an atrocity on the polling day.
If i'm wrong I'm glad but I just don't see a move in tory support in polls while the media have hammered this gap closing line too much when in fact its been almost 100% of undecideds going to labour.