Carling Cup Seeds?

  • Please bear with us on the new site integration and fixing any known bugs over the coming days. If you can not log in please try resetting your password and check your spam box. If you have tried these steps and are still struggling email [email protected] with your username/registered email address
  • Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!
I

i like Southampton FC

Member
Aug 3, 2011
67
0
6
Anyone know whether we're seeded for tonight's Carling Cup 2nd Round Draw? No clues on the official CC website. I'm fairly sure there are 50 teams in this round, meaning 25 are seeded. 13 Premiership teams are in the draw leaving 12 Championship clubs to be seeded as well. How are these chosen?
Obviously the CC isn't at all our priority, but with our squad having as much depth as it does this season it could be beneficial in giving the likes of Dickson, Seaborne, Chaplow, Holmes and Forte another start for morale as much as match practice's sake, were we to get another home draw against lower league opposition.

On a side note, if Radio Solent are to be believed (admittedly unlikely (i understandably can't really be ****ed to research it myself)), and Torquay was our 12th consecutive home tie drawn in all competitions, the chances of this streak happening were 1 in 4,096. Therefore there's a 1 in 8,192 chance of 13 straight home draws, which could occur later this evening.

HG
 
It is normally done on the orevoius season's league standings

By that method, I don;t think we would be seeded?
 
I would imagine that it's determined by last season's league finishes. So the 12 Championship seeds would be those sides who finished 4th - 12th, plus Blackpool, Birmingham and West Ham.
 
Doing The Lambert Walk said:
fran-MLs little camera said:
The chance of drawing at home tonight is unaffected by past events.
Click to expand...

Exactly, it's 50/50 chances surely?
Click to expand...

I'll nerd this thread up as I am a maths teacher. Because the 12 previous home games have already happened, technically they hold a probability of 1 as it is certain that the previous 12 games were drawn at home, thus making the probability of the next match being drawn at home 0.5 or 50%.
If the questions was 'what would the probability that the next 13 games were all drawn at home?', as these events have not yet taken place, all the probabilities would create a probability of 1 in 8192.
Oh how I love being a maths geek, it's one of my sexiest qualities lol!!!
 
Cardiff Saint said:
I'll nerd this thread up as I am a maths teacher. Because the 12 previous home games have already happened, technically they hold a probability of 1 as it is certain that the previous 12 games were drawn at home, thus making the probability of the next match being drawn at home 0.5 or 50%.
If the questions was 'what would the probability that the next 13 games were all drawn at home?', as these events have not yet taken place, all the probabilities would create a probability of 1 in 8192.
Oh how I love being a maths geek, it's one of my sexiest qualities lol!!!
Click to expand...

:emoticon-0115-inlov
 
fran-MLs little camera said:
Aren't Birmingham excluded from this round because of European match?
Click to expand...

Ah yes, now you mention it I think you're right. I think that's why Crawley and Wimbledon had to have a qualifying play-off a couple of weeks back, so that there would still be an even number of teams in the 1st round this week.
 
Each draw is an independent event so our chances of getting a home draw are exactly 50%, that is one in two.

Now come on brush up on you GCSE maths and the statistics you learned. Remember the difference between dependent and independent events.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom
Back