In terms of winning the WC I feel its down to France and Germany, with Brazil as 3rd Favourites.Personal current rank with corresponding gaps representing separation of tiers. All in all, I believe my top 4 have about an 85% chance to win the tournament, while the field has like a 15% chance.
Flame me at will with disagreement
Spain/Germany
France/Brazil
Belgium/Argentina/Portugal/Croatia
Poland/Colombia/England/Uruguay/Switzerland
Denmark
Morocco/Peru/Mexico/Egypt
Serbia/Nigeria/Senegal/Iran/Iceland/Costa Rica
Australia/Russia/South Korea/Japan
Tunisia/Saudi Arabia/Panama
Spain have struggled to replace Xavi and Inestia, however I would still consider them to be Semi-finalists or better.
As for that 2nd tier I feel the gape is huge.
Argentina, who apart from Messi and the other Forwards don't have much else. Goalkeepers are very poor and the defence and midfield isn't much better.
Belgium can't seem to get it right despite their squad.
Portugal, wouldn't consider them 2nd tier if it wasn't for Ronaldo (much like Argentina they are heavily reliant on a superstar). The team that won the Euros are still one of the worst to do so.
Croatia, don't agree with them, next tier down for me.

