Wordle

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This is quite interesting - if you’re interested in this kind of stuff. Another Wordler - not from here - sent me this

According to a study of over 6 million Wordle games:

The odds of solving a Wordle level in one try is 0.02% on average and is completely down to chance.
The odds of solving a Wordle level in two tries is 5.67% on average.
The odds of solving a Wordle level in three tries is 22.66% on average.
The odds of solving a Wordle level in four tries is 33.10% on average.
The odds of solving a Wordle level in five tries is 23.91% on average.
The odds of solving a Wordle level in six tries is 11.72%.
People fail Wordle levels 2.92% of the time on average.
Interesting. I wonder what the odds of scoring various scores over the course of 7 days are. Somebody should be able to work that out <yikes>
 
Interesting. I wonder what the odds of scoring various scores over the course of 7 days are. Somebody should be able to work that out <yikes>
Well I’m not a bookie but to get it correct on the first try is 0.02% which means it should happen 2 times in every 10,000 tries or once in 5,000. So that would make it 4,999-1
Similarly to get it on the 2nd try is 5.67%, so that means 5.67 times in every 100 tries or once in every 17.6. So that would make it 16.6 -1
And so on…. That’s my understanding of it. I’m not sure if that is right so perhaps someone who understands odds or complies odds might be able to clarify!
 
Well I’m not a bookie but to get it correct on the first try is 0.02% which means it should happen 2 times in every 10,000 tries or once in 5,000. So that would make it 4,999-1
Similarly to get it on the 2nd try is 5.67%, so that means 5.67 times in every 100 tries or once in every 17.6. So that would make it 16.6 -1
And so on…. That’s my understanding of it. I’m not sure if that is right so perhaps someone who understands odds or complies odds might be able to clarify!
Correct. Are you saying that these are the odds every day, regardless of how many in a row one has had (ie like the toss of a coin - what's the odds of it being heads when it's been 16 heads in a row; Evs). That is debatable - hopefully <laugh>
 
Correct. Are you saying that these are the odds every day, regardless of how many in a row one has had (ie like the toss of a coin - what's the odds of it being heads when it's been 16 heads in a row; Evs). That is debatable - hopefully <laugh>
No that is just the chance of doing it on any specific day. So if you did it on Monday, it would be the same odds to do it again on Tuesday and the same odds to do it again on Wednesday. But to do it 3 days running would be much bigger odds.