What would you do?

  • Please bear with us on the new site integration and fixing any known bugs over the coming days. If you can not log in please try resetting your password and check your spam box. If you have tried these steps and are still struggling email [email protected] with your username/registered email address
  • Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Which would you choose?

  • A). Do nout

  • B). Spread for a guaranteed win

  • C). Consolation bets

Results are only viewable after voting.
Status
Not open for further replies.
Chappaz

Chappaz

Active Member
Jan 26, 2011
6,754
13
38
NULL
No doubt most of you don't care, but I need some advice.

For anyone who doesn't know, I put down £2 on a 10-team accumulator bet with odds of around 1600/1. That would give me a £3200 win.

9 results have came up so far, with Norwich vs Sunderland (of all teams) being the only game left to run. I've put down a draw of that.

Now through the use of some clever betting, I have three options:


A). Do nout.

Keep this original bet. If the game draws I get my £3200, if Norwich or Sunderland win, I get **** all.

B). Spread out the money.

Place £750 each on a Norwich win and a Sunderland win, which guarantees me something. However:

If the draw comes through: £3200 - £750 - £750 = £1700 win
Norwich win: £1245 - £750 (the lost money down on the mackem win) = £495 win
Sunderland win: £1470 - £750 (the lost money down on the Norwich win) = £720 win

So I'm guaranteed £495, but it means that if my original draw bet does come up correct, I've reduced my original £3200 winnings (if I'd taken the gamble) to £1700.

There's also a possibility that I could increase the £750 bets, increasing my guaranteed win but reducing the win I'd have had if the draw comes up.

C). Consolation prize

Put just £160 on Norwich and Sunderland wins, guaranteeing myself at least a small prize.

If the draw comes through: £3200 - £160 - £160 = £2880 win
Norwich win: £265 - £160 (the lost money down on the mackem win) = £105 win
Sunderland win: £313 - £160 (the lost money down on the Norwich win) = £153 win

So if my original bet doesn't come through, I have at least £100 to drown my sorrows. However, if my original bet does come through, I still have a very large £2880 chunk, which is just £320 less than what I was originally going to win.


Now which one would you choose?
 
THE LEFT BOOT OF ROBERT said:
im a bit of a boring bloke so i would go for guaranteed win its a Good pay day:)
Click to expand...

Aye same, couldnt bear it if I missed out on that much money. I will say that I think a draw is the most likely result tomorrow so maybe C isnt a bad idea. Also depends how well off you are in terms of savings etc as 3 grand is a hell of a win.

Good luck either way <ok>
 
yoshiyella said:
I say go for option B - min of £495, plus they are two teams who are inconsistent and either team could win
Click to expand...

Good thing about option B is that £495 is a MINIMUM. I'll either win £495, £720 or £1700 if my original draw comes up.

If that draw did come up though I'm sure I'd feel a little gutted that I basically halved my winnings.
 
Tough decision. Good luck though!

Personally I'd go for a variation of C. Ensure you get something but don't reduce the grand prize too much. You'll forever regret it if the draw comes in, thinking of the money you "lost".
 
dont be greedy pick B and make a lot of money

imagtine how you would feel if you picked A and lost due to a dodgy refereeing decisoon etc
 
Chappaz said:
Good thing about option B is that £495 is a MINIMUM. I'll either win £495, £720 or £1700 if my original draw comes up.

If that draw did come up though I'm sure I'd feel a little gutted that I basically halved my winnings.
Click to expand...
true but youde probably be more gutted if you won nowt though either way good luck
 
Chappaz said:
Good thing about option B is that £495 is a MINIMUM. I'll either win £495, £720 or £1700 if my original draw comes up.

If that draw did come up though I'm sure I'd feel a little gutted that I basically halved my winnings.
Click to expand...

I voted C, but I think I'll change it to B and I would kind of hope for a Mackem win <laugh>
 
i like what donkey toon said. depends on your bank balance though...

If you do go B you can even it out a bit so you get a higher minimum payout but a lower max payout (ie bet more money)
 
Donkey Toon said:
Tough decision. Good luck though!

Personally I'd go for a variation of C. Ensure you get something but don't reduce the grand prize too much. You'll forever regret it if the draw comes in, thinking of the money you "lost".
Click to expand...

That's currently my thinking. I'd be okay if I got myself £100 cash to enjoy on a nice night out, but if the draw came up I'd still have one heck of a bumper win. It's £300 less, but £2900 instead of £3200 is still in the '****load' category of cash.
 
Chappaz said:
That's currently my thinking. I'd be okay if I got myself £100 cash to enjoy on a nice night out, but if the draw came up I'd still have one heck of a bumper win. It's £300 less, but £2900 instead of £3200 is still in the '****load' category of cash.
Click to expand...

acctually that sounds like a better idea than b 100 quid aint to bad and if you get the bumber pay out you wont be as disapointed
 
Chappaz said:
That's currently my thinking. I'd be okay if I got myself £100 cash to enjoy on a nice night out, but if the draw came up I'd still have one heck of a bumper win. It's £300 less, but £2900 instead of £3200 is still in the '****load' category of cash.
Click to expand...

That is what I am thinking. Forget about the original bet, think instead that you have been given an offer whereby for a stake of £2 you are in a prize raffle to win enough money for a) one good night out b) one really excellent night out or c) 29 good nights out.

The alternative being you have one chance of winning 32 good nights out but two chances of winning nothing.

The first one gives you a great prize and two good backups, the other a slightly better top prize and a better then even chance of nothing.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom
Back