Wednesday Racing Thread

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TopClass said:
4.10 Ascot SNOW KING 11/2

Rather surprised at the price to say the least. I think anyone can put a line through a run in the US on just your second start and the maiden win is red hot form, in front of Telescope, Zamoyski, Tawhid and numerous other useful types.

Listed level ought to be a very winnable place to start and the drop to 6f ought so suit more, having shown plenty of pace at this track kn debut.
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Thought I was doing well to get 11/2 this morning - 7s available now <yikes>
 
Right, I'm on Sovereign Debt here. It can't be another slowly run race, so Spencer to bring the Michael Bell colt last to first and deliver him on the line, winning by a nostril hair. Like he does.
 
Bluesky9 said:
I think the Ascot card could throw up a few good betting opportunities tomorrow but with regard most I would like to see how the early exchanges go in the market. I am going to take a chance on one early however as it's price could be real value.

Ascot
3.00 Fencing 4-1
To say this horse has disappointed is an understatement, after breaking his maiden in a listed race at 5-4 he ran in the Racing post trophy and was beaten 2 1/2 lengths into 3rd by Camalot. He was seen next in the 2000 Guineas in which he was beaten 6 lengths into 6th by Camalot, next up was the Dante in which he came 3rd. It all then went wrong as he was left out with the washing in the St James Palace at Royal Ascot and was given a four month break. When he came back he finished a respectable but uninspiring 4th in a group 2.

My theory is that the guineas meeting last year was run on atrocious going that bottomed out the horse on his first run back, he was not able to recover between then and his next run and by the time of Royal Ascot he had no chance to show what he was. John Gosden rightly gave him a break and brought him back in October but in effect the guineas finished his season. That he has been kept in training shows that they have faith that he is what they thought, which is a guineas horse.

His last 5 runs have taken in 3 group ones and 2 group twos, tomorrows race is a listed race and I expect him to win it well and be targeted to group races once again afterwards. My reservation is that he will not (quite rightly) be given a hard race and should it need fighting for he will not be asked for everything, but I still feel at 4-1 he could be a lot better than any of these. I know that John Gosden was once sure he was.
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Bluesky is on fire! Well done sir and many thanks.
 
TopClass said:
4.10 Ascot SNOW KING 11/2

Rather surprised at the price to say the least. I think anyone can put a line through a run in the US on just your second start and the maiden win is red hot form, in front of Telescope, Zamoyski, Tawhid and numerous other useful types.

Listed level ought to be a very winnable place to start and the drop to 6f ought so suit more, having shown plenty of pace at this track kn debut.
Click to expand...
Hugh Taylor has put up Hasopop, feeling a reverse forecast....
 
Very interested to see the wonderfully bred Victory Song make his debut tonight at 7.30 Tipperary who I have had a few quid on for The Derby at 270s in hope rather than expectation. This son of Dansili is a half brother to Oaks runner up Wonder Of Wonders and is out of All To Beautiful who is a full sister to Galileo and she herself finished runner up to Ouija Board in the Oaks. Given his fantastic pedigree, its unsurprising to see his lofty entries but he clearly hasn't had a straight forward time of things as he's only making his debut at 3. He's been pitched in against some fairly decent types on his racecourse debut but if he has any aspirations of fulfilling his entries then he will have to win this well but 11/10 seems like a very fair price to me. If he does win this well, then maybe my 3 figure docket could look very decent after the race tonight.
 
Having a dabble on the French runner Tres Rock Danon in the next at Ascot at 12s. I'm not sure how competitive a contest this is and the former German trained runner has some pretty useful form to his name. He wears first time blinkers today on what is the trainers first runner in Britain and I don't see an awful lot of pace in the race so he may get an easy time of things up front. Not one to go nuts with but I've had an each way dabble.
 
Can get 26s on the exchange for that one ROTO. Steps to freedom for me with fitness assured and the champ on board.
 
Drift said everything about Tres Rock Danon who apparently didn't look at all well in the Pre Parade Ring. Got the free lead I thought he would though.
 
Cheers Humans...be staggered if he gets beaten tbh and he was still 15/8 after Reply's default.

Nice one Blue...another excellent call.
 
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