Ammaar, a nice well thought out post, but I just don't think the results can be predicted at the moment. At this stage of the season, anything seems to be possible, especially at the bottom of the table, where the clubs who are fighting seem to find a whole new level of confidence. - and this is exactly what is spurring them on.
IMO, confidence is one of the major attributes needed in football. in fact, i'd go as far as to say that it's 70-80% of what's needed.- what ever stage of the season that might be.
you've only got to look at your club. - you had a terrible start and looked mediocre for some time. - when you beat us, you found new life in the team from somewhere and you've been arguably the best side in the league in the second half of the season. yes, you have lost to QPR and Wigan recently, but like my first point suggests, this is what always happens at this stage in a campaign. Harry needs to assess young managers such as Martinez and find out what they key ingredient is, in making his team have/get some fight. martinez does it year after year, having had a limited budget and does a superb job within his resources.
we are shot to pieces and have very little time to do anything about it. The players are nervous, low in confidence and don't know what to do. This coupled with the fact that we've got to play a side like blackburn who are fighting (and picking up points), bolton who are in exactly the same postition, Fulham which is a derby (and who are looking good), and Villa who still need points, make our end to the season very difficult. We'd actually be better off having a game against a side like City right now. The players would up their game massively as city would make us play our best football again and perhaps if we did pick up a win, this is what would find our new belief. Instead, we're going to face sides who are going to put to bed out "one tactic" football and we're f*cked. we've been totally found out and are far too one dimensional. this then leads on to harry's tactics, squad rotation and every other point that we're all been over time and time again.
going back to my point on confidence and how powerful i believe it to be, this is why i don't think newcastle can be ruled out because of their fixtures on paper. They are a team of players who you can see also get on very well. They don't have anything to lose and they are enjoying getting out on the pitch each week, just to see how far they can go. The momentum from this confidence could allow them to achieve 3rd at this rate, despite their fixtures. They're relaxed and their football is free flowing. - we should be watching them each week and taking note.
there's a mixture of things which we've spoken about to death, but all of these combined have caused our season to implode in the way it has. Levy should have put his hand in his pocket as far back at 18 months ago, as well as swallowing his own pride and getting rid of players surplus to requirements (and finding good squad relacements which harry was happy with playing). Harry's tactics have been atrocious, and so has the rotation (because of my point relating to Levy), and finally, the England talk has meant he's lost the dressing room. the players don't have a clue what's going on at the club. At the end of the day, they are human beings who lead normal lives and have feelings like anybody else, regardless of what they are paid. then there's the small factor that we've been extremely unlucky this season with some decisions, but that's just a small factor which has affected other teams as well, but it still doesn't help!
often, when a manager is sacked and you see a new boss take over, the players suddenly become "fresh" and they look like a different team. It's obvious harry is taking the england job very soon, so perhaps an interim manager coming in now would be the best thing for us. I know there's the compensation/contract aspect to think of, but levy needs to do something amicable to try and save our season. He's not going to be with us next season anyway!