Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 24th. Sept. 2019

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Morning

3.25 Lingfield-Brogans Bay @ 11-4 [Bet 365]

Booking of Murphy is a big positive
 
NassauBoard said:
A big miss for the staying chase division. They might look back ruefully when Delta Work grinds it out in the big one in March.
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Who?!? The 2 that I feared most and I thought most likely to prevent Santini’s coronation next March were Topofthegame and Lostintranslation. Sad to see the former missing out in 2019/20 but it does make Santini’s elevation to the top of the old tree more likely.

But I had been expecting you to be on here this morn informing the masses that you will be adding a new wing to ‘Board Manor’ after Peachey Carnehan’s 20/1 dot up yesterday…
 
Sir Barney Chuckles said:
Who?!? The 2 that I feared most and I thought most likely to prevent Santini’s coronation next March were Topofthegame and Lostintranslation. Sad to see the former missing out in 2019/20 but it does make Santini’s elevation to the top of the old tree more likely.

But I had been expecting you to be on here this morn informing the masses that you will be adding a new wing to ‘Board Manor’ after Peachey Carnehan’s 20/1 dot up yesterday…
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Don’t you start, Ive already had Stick mention that and the fact he backed it.
 
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Quick word, while I’m on, re old boy Hey Jonesy. Monumental gamble (25/1 down to 10’s) went on him for the ‘Ayr Gold Cup’ but he ultimately disappointed once again finishing 16th. May seem something of a paradox after that but I’m convinced that this horse remains one of the best handicapped beasts in training – even more so now that he has just been dropped another 2 lbs to 101. He may be in danger of becoming a ‘cliff’ horse (‘Wimbledon’s my personal favourite’) but this horse people will win a huge one one day mark one’s words – probably in about 18 months’ time at 50/1 when we have all given up on him!

I do wonder though if connections will opt to keep him or offload him at next months ‘Horses in Training sale’. They could probably get six figures and not have to endure any more angst in the process. Off his current mark, and in view of some of him form, he would be enormously attractive to so many bidders. Alternatively if they keep with him looks a solid horse for all major sprinting handicaps from here on in.
 
People, any views on Squire v The Castle with The Daughter on board (7.00 Chelmsford)??? Incidenatlly, those bookie chappies are, currently, giving absolutely nothing away in this 11 runner heat with 5 horses 9/2 or shorter!
 
NassauBoard said:
A big miss for the staying chase division. They might look back ruefully when Delta Work grinds it out in the big one in March.
Click to expand...

He was ante post fav for the Hennessy too, a few long-range vouchers sunk there I would imagine. Santini now heading that market with his 163 rating ahead of two females in Benie des Dieux (147) and La Bague Au Roi (151). Lostintranslation (rated 165) could conceivably end up with top weight here - I can't see any horses officially rated higher than him being aimed at this, unless Willie decides to send over Al Boum Photo or Kemboy. Always nice to try and spot one early for this race (now called The ladbrokes Trophy - brrrrrrr) and I wonder whether Paul Nolan might be tempted to aim Discorama at this? Ran two fine races to be second at Cheltenham and Punchestown and probably won't have Delta Work to worry about at Newbury. Currently 25/1 and off a mark of 149 we know he will be staying on all the way to the line.
 
OddDog said:
He was ante post fav for the Hennessy too, a few long-range vouchers sunk there I would imagine. Santini now heading that market with his 163 rating ahead of two females in Benie des Dieux (147) and La Bague Au Roi (151). Lostintranslation (rated 165) could conceivably end up with top weight here - I can't see any horses officially rated higher than him being aimed at this, unless Willie decides to send over Al Boum Photo or Kemboy. Always nice to try and spot one early for this race (now called The ladbrokes Trophy - brrrrrrr) and I wonder whether Paul Nolan might be tempted to aim Discorama at this? Ran two fine races to be second at Cheltenham and Punchestown and probably won't have Delta Work to worry about at Newbury. Currently 25/1 and off a mark of 149 we know he will be staying on all the way to the line.
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I don’t think Lostintranslation is going for that race from notes I’ve read.
 
OddDog said:
He was ante post fav for the Hennessy too, a few long-range vouchers sunk there I would imagine. Santini now heading that market with his 163 rating ahead of two females in Benie des Dieux (147) and La Bague Au Roi (151). Lostintranslation (rated 165) could conceivably end up with top weight here - I can't see any horses officially rated higher than him being aimed at this, unless Willie decides to send over Al Boum Photo or Kemboy. Always nice to try and spot one early for this race (now called The ladbrokes Trophy - brrrrrrr) and I wonder whether Paul Nolan might be tempted to aim Discorama at this? Ran two fine races to be second at Cheltenham and Punchestown and probably won't have Delta Work to worry about at Newbury. Currently 25/1 and off a mark of 149 we know he will be staying on all the way to the line.
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In my opinion Discorama will run the Grand National next year. I have a bet 50/1 e/w.
 
OddDog said:
Good luck with that <ok>
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Thank you. It's a very speculative bet that being realistic is impossible to happen (only seven years in 2020), but he has the mark to enter the race without problems and to achieve the place of course I would conform. Even just seeing him at the starting line.
 
OddDog said:
He was ante post fav for the Hennessy too, a few long-range vouchers sunk there I would imagine. Santini now heading that market with his 163 rating ahead of two females in Benie des Dieux (147) and La Bague Au Roi (151). Lostintranslation (rated 165) could conceivably end up with top weight here - I can't see any horses officially rated higher than him being aimed at this, unless Willie decides to send over Al Boum Photo or Kemboy. Always nice to try and spot one early for this race (now called The ladbrokes Trophy - brrrrrrr) and I wonder whether Paul Nolan might be tempted to aim Discorama at this? Ran two fine races to be second at Cheltenham and Punchestown and probably won't have Delta Work to worry about at Newbury. Currently 25/1 and off a mark of 149 we know he will be staying on all the way to the line.
Click to expand...

Santini and Lostintranslation both currently ‘blue’ on Oddschecker re the heat.

Has to be the former for me but the ‘joker in the pack’ would have to be Benie des Dieux off that sort of mark.

Another, incidentally, who could be on a good mark and somewhat under the old radar is Mr Whipped. Left The Lieutenant (in the Grech/Parkin dispersal sell ‘orrrrrrrrrrrrf) and now with old boy Bri Ellison. Is potentially a lot better than 145. But will Bri be able to improve on perfection and all that…
 
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Only 6 in the bumper at Warwick today but 4 of them look to have a real chance. Adicci (yard in good form) and Redford Road both ran promising races on debut to finish 2nd, Twig is a half-brother to Skidoosh and the McNeil's rarely buy rubbish and forked out 70 grand for Kiltealy Briggs. Adicci and Kiltealy Briggs both blue on oddschecker and close to being joint-favs around 7/4 mark. I shall be watching with the old notebook out.
 
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