Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 20th. October 2020

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Oct 19, 2020.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Tuesday's Meetings

    Yarmouth
    Flat 9 Races 12:25-4:50p.m.
    Exeter
    N/H 8 Races 12:40-4:30p.m.
    Fairyhouse
    Flat 7 Races 1:20-4:45p.m.
    Tipperary
    N/H 8 Races 1:30-5:25p.m.
    Newcastle
    A/W 8 Races 1:50-5:40p.m.
    Kempton(E)
    A/W 8 Races 4:35-8:10p.m.

    Racecards
    At The Races
    Racing Post
    Sporting Life

    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
  2. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    Very interesting racing at Tipperary 15.50. Captain Guinness, Aramax, Soviet Pimpernel, Unexcepted.
     
    #2
    Last edited: Oct 19, 2020
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  3. Joe_z

    Joe_z Active Member

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    Considering a wee dabble in 1630 Exeter
    Call me Sainte is the one that appeals, would appreciate your thoughts Stick.
     
    #3
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  4. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Would never put anyone off a Nigel Hawke horse. This looks like the better of his two and one of the more likely ones on pedigree. I would be wary of the Tregoning newcomer as that is well bred too but the favourite has the massive benefit of experience and will be hard to beat.
     
    #4
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  5. Harbottle

    Harbottle Active Member

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    Bit of money for it this evening, in from 14s to 8s on B365.
     
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  6. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Interesting money for LEFT UNATTENDED who I tipped on debut. Not 28/1 this time!
     
    #6
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  7. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    In terms of that 3 year old bumper, since 2015 in 3 year old bumpers there have been

    51 winners from 485 runners that made their debut (10.5%)
    12 winners from 159 on their second run (7.55%)
    2 winners from 20 on their third run (10%)

    However what is really interesting is when you look at their last time out finishing position for second time out runners.

    3 from 8 won lto
    5 from 14 finished second lto
    1 from 19 finishing third
    3 from 118 finished outside top three (1 from 20 in 4th)

    To me it suggests that these races are uncompetitive and that horses finishing outside the top two last time out are probably not very good animals.
     
    #7
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  8. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    3yo bumpers are basically a middle distance race for flat breds that were far too slow and backward to even contemplate running in flat maidens!
     
    #8
  9. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    do you copy and paste this every time we have one of these races? Perhaps we can get Attivo to add it in to the daily thread to remind everyone
     
    #9
  10. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Thoughts on Unexcepted today? Jumped beautifully and was eased right down over the last 3 furlongs to win easily. Looks a nice prospect. About time Willie had a really good one for JP.
     
    #10

  11. dylanthomas

    dylanthomas Active Member

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    Captain Guinness came back clinically abnormal post race and the others werent in it so race fell apart abit but no doubting he jumped beautifully and has a good cruising speed. His next start will be interesting.
     
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  12. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Yep a shame the fav was pulled up - looked like an over-reach up the home straight. Hope he is OK.
     
    #12
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