Tuesday 19th March Daily Racing Thread
- Thread starter gazboy
- Start date
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4.40 All The Winds @ 9/2
Not a race I would normally play in, but I caught his last run and I thought that it was impressive enough for him to go into the notebook. He ran on well after the eventual winner got an uncontested and easy lead, and they pulled a long way clear of the other two runners. The horse that beat him that day has gone on to win convincingly off a 2lb higher mark (plus the next win came in an apprentice race in which the jockey wasn't able to claim) and looks progressive, and therefore I think All The Winds is very interesting in a race that is likely to suit him more than that one did.
All The Winds remains on the same mark, but they have replaced Hayley Turner with the impressive claimer Robert Tart who takes what could be an invaluable five pounds off his back. He is already well handicapped on old form (won off 80 here in late 2011) and I think he is finally returning to some sort of form.
He should get a more even pace to run off, and I expect to see him flying home down the wide outside late in the day, if he does I think he can win a shade cosily off this mark and I think the 9/2 was a very nice price in a seven runner race.
Not a race I would normally play in, but I caught his last run and I thought that it was impressive enough for him to go into the notebook. He ran on well after the eventual winner got an uncontested and easy lead, and they pulled a long way clear of the other two runners. The horse that beat him that day has gone on to win convincingly off a 2lb higher mark (plus the next win came in an apprentice race in which the jockey wasn't able to claim) and looks progressive, and therefore I think All The Winds is very interesting in a race that is likely to suit him more than that one did.
All The Winds remains on the same mark, but they have replaced Hayley Turner with the impressive claimer Robert Tart who takes what could be an invaluable five pounds off his back. He is already well handicapped on old form (won off 80 here in late 2011) and I think he is finally returning to some sort of form.
He should get a more even pace to run off, and I expect to see him flying home down the wide outside late in the day, if he does I think he can win a shade cosily off this mark and I think the 9/2 was a very nice price in a seven runner race.
Morning, crew. If asked to describe today’s racing in 11 words I’d say, ‘I would not wager on it even with a free bet’ and for that reason the ‘no bet’ banner is being displayed today. However, keep Wilde Blue Yonder in your notebooks, people, as he remains in Saturday’s rich bumper at Newbury at the latest forfeit stage.
One piece of encouraging news for punting punters has emerged from the town where I work and it really is quite, quite remarkable. I wasn’t at the coalface last week so have only just heard about it but the weekend before last here in a Coral office a punter put a 15p line on a 14-fold 600,000/1 accumulator and duly scooped just over £90k. Apparently the old boy most Saturday’s does 3 similar football bets which never total more than 50p. What an uplifting story, methinks.
Good luck people.
One piece of encouraging news for punting punters has emerged from the town where I work and it really is quite, quite remarkable. I wasn’t at the coalface last week so have only just heard about it but the weekend before last here in a Coral office a punter put a 15p line on a 14-fold 600,000/1 accumulator and duly scooped just over £90k. Apparently the old boy most Saturday’s does 3 similar football bets which never total more than 50p. What an uplifting story, methinks.
Good luck people.
PRESENTING DR T 4.30 Exeter 40-1 has been dreadful on his last two outings but has kept some good company in the past including being not too far behind At Fishers Cross in a bumper! Interesting runner for minimal stakes.
Yes Barney. I heard about this. Well done that man.
My bets today are
Exeter 2pm Buckhorn Tom 5/1
Exeter 4.30 Glenwood Prince sp e/w
My bets today are
Exeter 2pm Buckhorn Tom 5/1
Exeter 4.30 Glenwood Prince sp e/w
Please explain the rationale behind backing Buckhorn Tom. I know it appears to be a gamble but I cannot for the life of me understand why!
Ah Glenwood Prince, I put that up the other day when he was a non runner, and I haven't backed him today. I wonder what will happen...
Little bit of money about for mine, hopefully that is a good sign.
Little bit of money about for mine, hopefully that is a good sign.
Flemenstar will be busy over the coming weeks ................... Sporting Life reporting he will take on Sprinter Sacre at Punchestown as well
Flemenstar will be busy over the coming weeks ................... Sporting Life reporting he will take on Sprinter Sacre at Punchestown as well
Chance for SS to fire his rating towards 200 I suppose...it isn't going to happen otherwise against the current crop of 2m'ers.
Wonder if SE will line up?...can't see why he would tbh and fanct he may tackle The Guinness GC over 3m1f with the prospect of decent ground.
take it to the bank lads.
I backed it before the gamble. Maybe they realised the champ's money was down?
Selection Selection Details Result
1
Exeter
14:30
Race winner
2013-03-19 14:30:00
Buckhorn Tom @ 5/1
Pending
Channel WAP
Bet Placed At 18/03/2013
Just for those that don't seem to like the fact I am quite good at backing horses.
BADA BING
1
Exeter
14:30
Race winner
2013-03-19 14:30:00
Buckhorn Tom @ 5/1
Pending
Channel WAP
Bet Placed At 18/03/2013
Just for those that don't seem to like the fact I am quite good at backing horses.
BADA BING
So explain why! Horses form was cack before today and the gamble, which I noted, started last night.
West Country handicap hurdles are the biggest carve ups going!
West Country handicap hurdles are the biggest carve ups going!
Can't see them wanting to go up against SS again Dex, smashed him up at Cheltenham and Punchestown hasn't traditionally been the best track for SE
I'd like to see Baily Geen and Arvika Ligionniere line up to give us a line to the novice form (although I think we all know what would happen)
True Oddy...I don't think that SE will ever race against SS again.
Great to see SS out again this year at least...Think BW will be done for the year.
I can tell you why The Champ backed him at 5/1 last night if you would like Stick - thanks for the congrats by the way.
He ran a fair very race in the context of todays handicap when losing to Many Clouds LTO over slightly too far on awful ground. I backed Many Clouds lto just before Cheltenham when he ran a creditable albeit well beaten second in the Novices Handicap Hurdle Final at Sandown. A decent Nicholls horse was in second that day. The third is now rated 127, the 4th 122 and Tolkiens Tango won at the start of March off 105 beating a Kim Bailey horse, South Stack, into third that i've kept an eye on all season and who was claiming 7lbs in the shape of the useful Chris Ward. My chap went off at 80/1 that day and yet he definitely outran the price.
Yes the race before was a poor run.
The other race at Exeter (where the yard do incredibly well and where they target almost all of their gambles) was a very commendable 4th behind The Italian Yob (now rated 124) and Key To The West (now rated 119) with a Lavelle horse in third. Yes he was well beaten but he only really died on his arse towards the end of the race when the better rivals pulled away to battle out a fairly tight finish. Leaving me to believe that they had run to roughly their ability where as my lad was allowed to amble home well clear of fifth place. That was a really good race in the context of this rather pathetic class 4.
Now, if you look at the Tizzards record at Exeter you should be looking to keep all of their horses on side with 7 winners from their last 24 runners at the course in the last 12 months and 6 others placing. Buckhorn was their only runner today at the course. Couple that with their rather sterling Cheltenham Festival form where they had two winners and a couple of third places and to my eye it was a great bet at 5/1.
The ground has proven in the past to be of no concern. You say he had piss poor form but his form really wasn't poor in the slightest and in the context of this race was actually excellent.
So to sum up I baked him last night before the gamble because:
a) clear value in the race;
b) standout form;
c) trainer success rate at the track; and
d) trainers recent excellent form.
He ran a fair very race in the context of todays handicap when losing to Many Clouds LTO over slightly too far on awful ground. I backed Many Clouds lto just before Cheltenham when he ran a creditable albeit well beaten second in the Novices Handicap Hurdle Final at Sandown. A decent Nicholls horse was in second that day. The third is now rated 127, the 4th 122 and Tolkiens Tango won at the start of March off 105 beating a Kim Bailey horse, South Stack, into third that i've kept an eye on all season and who was claiming 7lbs in the shape of the useful Chris Ward. My chap went off at 80/1 that day and yet he definitely outran the price.
Yes the race before was a poor run.
The other race at Exeter (where the yard do incredibly well and where they target almost all of their gambles) was a very commendable 4th behind The Italian Yob (now rated 124) and Key To The West (now rated 119) with a Lavelle horse in third. Yes he was well beaten but he only really died on his arse towards the end of the race when the better rivals pulled away to battle out a fairly tight finish. Leaving me to believe that they had run to roughly their ability where as my lad was allowed to amble home well clear of fifth place. That was a really good race in the context of this rather pathetic class 4.
Now, if you look at the Tizzards record at Exeter you should be looking to keep all of their horses on side with 7 winners from their last 24 runners at the course in the last 12 months and 6 others placing. Buckhorn was their only runner today at the course. Couple that with their rather sterling Cheltenham Festival form where they had two winners and a couple of third places and to my eye it was a great bet at 5/1.
The ground has proven in the past to be of no concern. You say he had piss poor form but his form really wasn't poor in the slightest and in the context of this race was actually excellent.
So to sum up I baked him last night before the gamble because:
a) clear value in the race;
b) standout form;
c) trainer success rate at the track; and
d) trainers recent excellent form.