Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 11th. May 2021

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attivo

attivo

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Jan 23, 2014
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1.30 Sedgefield - Frankie Ballou

CD winner on a career-low mark today whos overall form at Sedgefield reads:

P1121PF4327264

Last run at Sedgefield wasn't without promise in my opinion: "rallied and kept on approaching last, never dangerous" (racingpost comment)

The each way stats for the Forster yard at this track in handicap chases over the last 5 seasons not bad I think:

runs 42 wins 6 placed 10 PL 6.60

Sean Quinlan always an eyecatching jockey booking at Sedgefield.

Hopefully this bottom weight can reach a place at least.

Good luck whatever you back today!
 
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Beverly 2.45 Mr Wagyu

I picked this one for the saturday league competition 2 weeks ago and will take another chance on him. Just 1lb above last winning mark and won of higher marks in the past. Won last year on 2nd run after a break so could have needed his comeback run at Thirsk when racing prominently until weakening final furlongs. Stable in good form and draw 4 is a positive for this front runner. Worth a small each way bet.
 
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Over in France the Prix De Guiche looks like a match between Adhamo and Makaloun. The Group 3 prize is said to be a stepping stone to the French Derby for Jean-Claude Rouget's Makaloun if the colt comes through it satisfactorily. A son of Bated Breath, Makaloun won his first three races without looking anything out of the ordinary but when upped to Group 3 class at Chantilly he came right away to score by five lengths, with another four lengths back to the third and the runner up later won a listed race. Sent off favourite next time over 10F on Heavy ground Makaloun could only manage 3rd place behind Mark Johnston's Gear Up in a Saint Cloud Group 1 but it was very testing going that day and a certain colt also struggled on the ground that day and it was Bolshoi Ballet, who is now warm favourite for the Derby.

Freddie Head's Adhamo is a shade of odds-on today after winning the Prix La Force, a well known trial for the French Derby. That win brought up four in a row for the Intello colt but the runner up was beaten favourite in a Listed race next time and I get the feeling it was a bit below par renewal. Freddie Head also concerns me as a trainer who seems to get horses that look promising for a run or two but then don't go on and he has never trained the winner of a race his sister used to farm regularly.

In the circumstances I went with Makaloun at the odds today and I have also backed him for the French Derby at 12/1 because I think Adhamo is poor value at half those odds and St Mark's Basilica looks unappetising at the same 6/1 price.


2.50 Chantilly Makaloun 7/4

Prix Du Jockey Club Makaloun 12/1
 
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Sedgefield
16,35 Blue Collar Glory 7/1 e/w

Killarney
18,40 Fugacious 7/1 e/w (four places)
 
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LordGyllene said:
1.30 Sedgefield - Frankie Ballou

CD winner on a career-low mark today whos overall form at Sedgefield reads:

P1121PF4327264

Last run at Sedgefield wasn't without promise in my opinion: "rallied and kept on approaching last, never dangerous" (racingpost comment)

The each way stats for the Forster yard at this track in handicap chases over the last 5 seasons not bad I think:

runs 42 wins 6 placed 10 PL 6.60

Sean Quinlan always an eyecatching jockey booking at Sedgefield.

Hopefully this bottom weight can reach a place at least.

Good luck whatever you back today!
Click to expand...

I have a bet 4/1 Six One Nine. Good luck anyway.
 
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In the 4.07 at Sedgefield runs Zuckerberg, a former german owned horse which has won over fences for David Cottin in france. I've been following this horse for a while now. 2 runs ago over hurdles at Huntingdon it was an encouraging run when staying on in 4th. Mark
has dropped plenty so I wouldn't rule Zuckerberg out today. 3 from stables last 5 runners reached a place so hopefully Jeannie Candlish returns to the winners enclosure with this one today.
 
Ciao Shark is a warm favourite for the 1.45 Beverley and having been 3rd on debut is likely to improve and will hold a good chance today. At odds of 6/5 though, we won't get rich and I thought it worth chancing a newcomer.

Sir Lelo is by Dark Angel and cost £100,000 as a yearling and he is a full brother to Yafta, who was very decent. You would think a Beverley Maiden is not too ambitious as a starting point and I thought he was worth an interest at 5/1 coming out of trap 1. You never know how far forward these newcomers will be and it's a guess as to their ability but I thought the favourite's RPR of 72 was not unbeatable and Tom Dascombe is going OK at the moment.

1.45 Beverley Sir Lelo 5/1
 
Makaloun has been backed for today and also cut to 17/2 for the French Derby. Hope that is a good sign.
 
Sir Lelo flew out of stall 1 but he didn't stay there for long. He never really looked like getting into it but will probably have benefited from the experience. He will need to do a lot better to get his purchase price back.

The favourite was a big disappointment at pretty short odds, never looking like winning.

Aleez Dancer absolutely hosed up, coming right away in smooth style to win by more than 6 lengths despite being drawn in box 14. That must have been a good race the son of Fast Company was in last time because the winner, 4th, 5th and 6th have all won since. Not bad for a Beverley Class 5 Novice race.

Oh well, it was only a speculative selection but Sir Lelo did beat the 11/10 favourite home, only to finish in 6th place :emoticon-0110-tongu
 
Makaloun looked like winning well but I thought he got a bit tired in front after coming through to take it up. He stayed on well enough to win by half a length at 15/8. I think he was entitled to have needed that after a while off the track and this was always his prep race for the French Derby, so there should be more to come.

Bookmakers reacted by cutting Makaloun to 7/1 for the French Derby and with his win today I pretty much have a free bet on him for that race at 12/1. He will need to come on from today but Jean-Claude Rouget usually knows what he is doing.

Adhamo was only 4th today about 3 lengths in arrears and I would say he has a slim chance of reversing form with Makaloun, given that the Head colt had fitness advantage today. I was astonished he was only pushed out to 8/1 from 6/1 and it seems crazy that today's winner in only one point shorter for the French Derby.

St Mark's Basilica is now 5/1 Fav for the French Derby and if he wins the French Guineas then he will surely go shorter but I think he has enough to prove for now and I would make Makaloun the 5/1 shot having satisfactorily landed the trial for a trainer who needs to be respected.

Almanzor won the Guiche in 2016 before following up in the French Derby and I hope Makaloun can also pull off that feat. Happy enough with his win today.
 
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Pilgrim said:
Sedgefield
16,35 Blue Collar Glory 7/1 e/w

Killarney
18,40 Fugacious 7/1 e/w (four places)
Click to expand...

Both NR.
I'm going to try with

Wetherby
18,20 Firewater 9/1 e/w bet365, Lads and Coral, all four places. Others 17/2 five places.
 
I will have a small each way on the Micky Hammond trained Walkonby in the 6.20 at Wetherby. A winner in 2019(3 times) and June 2020 for Mick Channon I wouldn't be surprised if her new yard finds the key to get her competitive again soon. Her mark has now slipped to 1lb below her last winning mark. With the 4 places on offer its worth taking a chance that she will outrun her odds tonight.
 
LordGyllene said:
I will have a small each way on the Micky Hammond trained Walkonby in the 6.20 at Wetherby. A winner in 2019(3 times) and June 2020 for Mick Channon I wouldn't be surprised if her new yard finds the key to get her competitive again soon. Her mark has now slipped to 1lb below her last winning mark. With the 4 places on offer its worth taking a chance that she will outrun her odds tonight.
Click to expand...

Abandoned by the look of it pal
 
Pilgrim said:
Both NR.
I'm going to try with

Wetherby
18,20 Firewater 9/1 e/w bet365, Lads and Coral, all four places. Others 17/2 five places.
Click to expand...

Again NR.

"Unfortunately, after a further 12mm rain between 3.15pm & 5.15pm, following the 1st race there are areas of standing water & waterlogging on the course & the race meeting has had to be been abandoned on safety grounds. We apologise for any inconvenience that this has caused."
 
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