I don't think that you have considered the pressure on Liverpool, they HAVE to win every game to stand a chance, Newcastle as far as Liverpool are concerned only have to get to 72 points, I think they will get at least 76.
That's something I've considered yes and i feel if it comes down to the last 3 they've got more experience.
I think people are looking at Leeds Leicester snd Chelsea and assuming newcastle can win easily, but Leeds and Leicester will be desperate for anything they can get and will waste time and Chelsea away is still Chelsea.
I'm not saying anything with any degree of certainty, but people are declaring it as job done when it's really not quite the case.