Home games against Wolves and Southampton are going to determine our Season.
Todays match!
- Thread starter Southcoastoldgaffer
- Start date
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Really? What about the other 15 ponts we'll need?
Wont determine our season, but would be very helpful to beat them.
Wont determine our season, but would be very helpful to beat them.
Wolves lose so no change to the table,just hope Spurs aren't too Spursy tomorrow!!
We want a Spurs win to keep Ange in post. If they lose today then they’ll come calling for McKenna.
I don't think anyone will be after him at the moment.
After these last set of results most clubs would have sacked him.
Fortunately, we are not like most other clubs.
Leicester and Southampton came from the Prem and our lads came from League One. That is changing now as we bring in more talent, but McKenna’s stock has only risen and I will bet he wouldn’t mind taking over Spurs or United at the moment where the expectations are rock bottom.
There’s a real risk Spurs target McKenna for their next manager. It makes a lot of sense for Spurs and - out of the “Big Six” clubs - they seem like the most likeliest to seriously pursue somebody like Kieran.
I’m not sure if they’d pull the trigger at this point of the season. Who knows if Leicester win, but they’re still in the other cup competitions and they’ve got half a foot in the League Cup final. They’ve also got a terrible situation with injuries - worse than us - so I think Ange gets the full season, unless they’re knocked out of all the trophies by March.
I wonder if part of McKenna regrets not taking the Brighton or Chelsea job. I don’t think he’d be as reluctant to turn down the next job offer at an established Premier League side. The season’s been rough, but we’re still in with a good chance at staying up if we can better the results of Leicester and Wolves through these last 15 games.
I’m not sure if they’d pull the trigger at this point of the season. Who knows if Leicester win, but they’re still in the other cup competitions and they’ve got half a foot in the League Cup final. They’ve also got a terrible situation with injuries - worse than us - so I think Ange gets the full season, unless they’re knocked out of all the trophies by March.
I wonder if part of McKenna regrets not taking the Brighton or Chelsea job. I don’t think he’d be as reluctant to turn down the next job offer at an established Premier League side. The season’s been rough, but we’re still in with a good chance at staying up if we can better the results of Leicester and Wolves through these last 15 games.
I don’t think he was ever in the running for the Chelsea job. Brighton though - I don’t think so. It would have been a huge risk. There was every chance a bottom half placing there would put an end to his managerial career.
If it’s any consolation, at least we’ve got our games against Liverpool and Man City over and done with. Leicester and Wolves need to play them both again this half of the season.
If we can’t beat Southampton, it doesn’t matter what other teams do. We are in the bottom 3 because of our own performances
Thanks Villa
It’s not looking hopeful. Our last throw of the dice will be in a couple of weeks to drag Spurs in.
January's always a tough window to recruit, as seen by most of our other relegation rivals who made fewer moves than we did. Wolves feel like they're on the cusp of going on a run and the Cunha contract extension will give them a lift. Previously struggling teams like Everton and West Ham have put enough distance to ease concerns about getting dragged into the dogfight. It feels highly unlikely that Spurs or Manchester United will fail to get to the 40-point mark this season, despite their poor form and injury struggles.
Maybe - just maybe - we can surprise an erratic Villa side distracted by Europe to nick a result. Then two games against Spurs and Manchester United don't look as daunting as they would've done in years gone by - but it'll take a brave Town fan to bet on us to win given our current form.
March looks difficult with in-form Palace and Forest sides. Given how comfortably they defended against us to win earlier this season, I'm not sure we'll have enough to outscore them.
April has a horrible fixture list. Away at Bournemouth, a possible must-win home game against Wolves, and then consecutive games against Champions League chasing clubs in Chelsea, Arsenal, and Newcastle (with only the Arsenal game being at home against those three).
May eases up considerably, on paper. By that stage, we're potentially in a scenario where we have to win out. Away at Everton in their penultimate last match at Goodison, before hosting Brentford (with probably nothing to play for), away at Leicester (hopefully relegated by then), and home against a West Ham side likely checked out in 15th place.
Maybe - just maybe - we can surprise an erratic Villa side distracted by Europe to nick a result. Then two games against Spurs and Manchester United don't look as daunting as they would've done in years gone by - but it'll take a brave Town fan to bet on us to win given our current form.
March looks difficult with in-form Palace and Forest sides. Given how comfortably they defended against us to win earlier this season, I'm not sure we'll have enough to outscore them.
April has a horrible fixture list. Away at Bournemouth, a possible must-win home game against Wolves, and then consecutive games against Champions League chasing clubs in Chelsea, Arsenal, and Newcastle (with only the Arsenal game being at home against those three).
May eases up considerably, on paper. By that stage, we're potentially in a scenario where we have to win out. Away at Everton in their penultimate last match at Goodison, before hosting Brentford (with probably nothing to play for), away at Leicester (hopefully relegated by then), and home against a West Ham side likely checked out in 15th place.
We are likely to need somewhere around another 20 points, which is more or less 1.4 points per game because it would be a big shock if Wolves didn't make it comfortably over the 30 point mark from here. So for us it's double the 0.7 points per game we've managed so far. We have to pick up at least a couple of wins in 'tougher' games - Villa away, Palace away, Bournemouth away, Chelsea away, Newcastle away and Forest or Arsenal at home, which account for half our remaining available points - or how we perform in the 'easier' fixtures, Spurs, Man Utd, Brentford, Leicester, Wolves, Everton and West Ham won't matter because we won't win them all.
Yeah, it’s looking unlikely isn’t it?
If by some miracle we get to May and we’re still only a few points off safety, I’d back us to go up another gear and give it a real go against opposition who - hopefully - have nothing on the line to play for. Even then, we only managed one draw and three losses against Everton, Brentford, Leicester, and West Ham in the earlier fixtures.