Daily Racing Thread Thursday 24th. May 2018

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It’s been raining here, on and off, since 6 a.m. And the last weather forecast that I saw said ‘showers’ were to continue until mid-day of the morrow.
 
Good luck with Squire Stick. I've had a modest ew bet on him. A decent mark and has run well at Sandown before, finishing 3rd. The winner of that race hasn't disgraced himself in Group races since. I reckon a nice bottle of Rioja will be popped open in celebration at El Sticks come 6.10 this evening.
 
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I'm not burdening Squire with any of my money today, I'm in agreement with Stick in that the horse is looking regressive. I'm not having a bet on anything in the race but two against the field if I was would be Mullarkey & Zambeasy.

Best of luck Stick and hope he proves us wrong
 
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Ron said:
Good luck with Squire. The big question is this.

Has he regressed over the last 2 years?

On 25th September Squire finished 2nd in the Silver Cambridgeshire (9f) btn 1¼l running on under 9.6 (Rob Havlin riding). That was a Class 2 handicap. 2 months before that he ran over today's C&D in a Class 4 handicap (again ridden by Rob Havlin and carrying 9.10) he was 2l behind the winner, conceding 14lb (4lb more then wfa)

Today he runs in a Class 5 handicap carrying 8.11.

The other thing is that, since his last run on turf 11 months ago, he has been running on the AW bringing his OR down from 72 to 65 (his highest OR was 80, 13 months ago). AND, I seem to recall stick saying he is 10lb better on turf (correct me if I am misquoting, stick). On that assumption alone that would place him on a current "turf" OR of 75, again placing him well in on the weights

Based on the above, this makes the 16/1 look ridiculous as he ought to be near fav, if not fav

Hence my crunch question, has he regressed? If not this is "Have it off with Squire day" folks

If that 16/1 collapses I think we could have the answer right there

The jockey booking is interesting. First time up for Ryan Tate. Is he good?

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Haven't seen any of the racing as I'm tied up but, just looking at the SP of 33/1 and beaten over 16l he's either regressed (but then why run him?) or the jockey was getting a feel for another touch at Newmarket. It's a guessing game
 
Just managed to get to the TV in time to watch Without Parole. Bloody hell, that was hard work. And I didn't get to see Francesca in her slinky dress

PS. Just settled down to watch what is left and have now seen Franscesca. She's looking, what can I say? <laugh>
 
If you didnt see the racing Gosden said Without Parole needed the run as has done nothing at home since bruising the foot before the 2000G and Dettori said the sticky ground didnt suit him. Take from that what you will.
 
mallafets123 said:
If you didnt see the racing Gosden said Without Parole needed the run as has done nothing at home since bruising the foot before the 2000G and Dettori said the sticky ground didnt suit him. Take from that what you will.
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Makes sense to me. He was clearly the best horse in the race but just couldn't seem to get his action going; almost like he was pulling a truck
 
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