Off Topic The Politics Thread

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Should the UK remain a part of the EU or leave?

  • Stay in

    Votes: 56 47.9%

  • Get out

    Votes: 61 52.1%
  • Total voters
    117
  • Poll closed .
A second Tory candidate, and wife of their Director of Campaigning, is now being investigated over bets on the date of the election. Tony Lee, husband of Bristol North West candidate Laura Saunders, has taken a 'leave of absence' from his campaigning role, apparently.

I joked a while back that the campaign had been going so badly for the Tories that there must be a suspicion that Sunak had taken a very significant short position on the number of Tory seats won. Perhaps not Sunak, who doesn't need the money, but maybe other Tories have done just that.
 
Stroller said:
A second Tory candidate, and wife of their Director of Campaigning, is now being investigated over bets on the date of the election. Tony Lee, husband of Bristol North West candidate Laura Saunders, has taken a 'leave of absence' from his campaigning role, apparently.

I joked a while back that the campaign had been going so badly for the Tories that there must be a suspicion that Sunak had taken a very significant short position on the number of Tory seats won. Perhaps not Sunak, who doesn't need the money, but maybe other Tories have done just that.
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Pays for the deposit.
 
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qprbeth said:
The Tories really don't want to win do they..
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If Sunak had delayed the GE until the autumn, Farage would have been busy in the US supporting Trump, and Rwanda flights would have taken off and might well have deterred some illegals from coming over, given that some were already fleeing to Ireland. I've no idea what the logic was behind the vote in early July, but since then, it seems some Tory staff have given up and are demob happy
 
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Goldhawk-Road said:
If Sunak had delayed the GE until the autumn, Farage would have been busy in the US supporting Trump, and Rwanda flights would have taken off and might well have deterred some illegals from coming over, given that some were already fleeing to Ireland. I've no idea what the logic was behind the vote in early July, but since then, it seems some Tory staff have given up and are demob happy
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I heard Sunak knew/ guessed that inflation was down to 2%just before election.... and thought it would rise in November and December...due to heating bills etc..

So a summer election was the best bet.

A big gamble...that actually caught everyone out...unfortunately including his own party ( except the in-the-know betting ring obviously)
 
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qprbeth said:
I heard Sunak knew/ guessed that inflation was down to 2%just before election.... and thought it would rise in November and December...due to heating bills etc..

So a summer election was the best bet.

A big gamble...that actually caught everyone out...unfortunately including his own party ( except the in-the-know betting ring obviously)
Click to expand...

Maybe. Maybe he was going to be ousted. Is Calfornia nice in July? I assume it is.
 
Stroller said:
A second Tory candidate, and wife of their Director of Campaigning, is now being investigated over bets on the date of the election. Tony Lee, husband of Bristol North West candidate Laura Saunders, has taken a 'leave of absence' from his campaigning role, apparently.

I joked a while back that the campaign had been going so badly for the Tories that there must be a suspicion that Sunak had taken a very significant short position on the number of Tory seats won. Perhaps not Sunak, who doesn't need the money, but maybe other Tories have done just that.
Click to expand...

Bent til the bitter end
 
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qprbeth said:
I heard Sunak knew/ guessed that inflation was down to 2%just before election.... and thought it would rise in November and December...due to heating bills etc..

So a summer election was the best bet.

A big gamble...that actually caught everyone out...unfortunately including his own party ( except the in-the-know betting ring obviously)
Click to expand...
Also, any rise in inflation would delay any (further) interest rate cuts: the next MPC meeting will be in August and is viewed as the one where base rate will be cut.

The one after is in September and may be viewed as too soon after any cut in August.

If inflation has started to increase, then there won’t be a reduction in the November meeting.
 
Farage believes the west provoked putin and poked the bear. Kind of seems to put blame on the west before back tracking in saying it's ultimately putins fault.
 
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