I’d like to hear his analysis of the Labour Party*. This is obviously written with a strong political bias (Cohen is a huge Blairite, especially on foreign policy) and I think it could be justifiably written off as Project Fear stuff from a Leaver perspective even if it might contain some accuracies.
Given that we are in guess the future/speculation territory, it could equally be argued that the most damaging thing is uncertainty rather than a hard Brexit, which, with a weaker £ and possibly less regulation, might boost exports (weak pound wipes out the impact of mostly low level tariffs) and the higher cost of imports might boost local production, and encourage inward investment. Personally I think that this is an over rosy interpretation and am pretty sure the social cost will not be pretty, but it’s all guesswork.
* found it
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/05...our-is-being-picked-apart-by-its-new-enemies/
We will see just how much imagination the British electorate has come the next election. The Scots have already broken the two party mould, can the English follow suit? I don’t think the collapse of the Tory and Labour parties would be a bad thing, but our electoral system doesn’t encourage a plurality of parties and there is an immaturity to politics which mitigates against the norm everywhere else in Europe, coalition government.