Col the EU is panicking. Putting pressure on us is just covering up their own worries. They can say "we don't need the UK" and will do okay without us, well if that is the case, why are they trying so hard to stop us leaving? All the talk of everyone moving to Paris or Germany has not materialized. Even with all the crap that has gone on with the pound/business/Brexit we are still here and not doing as bad as we were told in 'project fear'. Some tough times ahead but again I am glad we are leaving that club which is totally controlled by Merkel. The 'remoaners' can bleat on as much as they like but things will be moving forward.
The EU is on dodgy ground in many countries and if they had reformed it a few years ago they wouldn't have been in this mess.
What really frightens Brussels, what completely shrivels Junckers's insignificant testicles, is not the anti-immigrant rebellions in Eastern Europe, not the possible break up of Spain, not the threat from terrorism worsened by Schengen, not the threat from Russia - it's the fact that the UK could thrive outside the EU. Brussels is ****ting itself over that prospect. It will do all it can to prevent it happening. So far we've seen the usual complacent and arrogant EU approach, moving not an inch in the Brexit negotiations, and demanding time and time again that the UK bid against itself. Polls are showing the British populace are fast tiring of it and don't believe Brussels genuinely wants a Brexit deal.
I'm increasingly of the few, Col, that your "Tell 'em to **** off" is the right strategy. If the EU don't start trade negotiations after December, we prepare for the WTO route. If trade talks do start, we still prepare for the WTO route because we may need to go this route for some years before the EU come to their senses. And if we do start to walk away from the EU talks, I confidently predict we'll see huge fissures developing with the EU camp between the reasonable " continued trade with the UK" brigade, and Junckers's hardliners. The hardliners will come under huge pressure from European businesses that have big UK exporting interests. I'm looking forward to it.
Right, so the best future for the UK is dependent on the failure of the EU? Inspiring! [HASHTAG]#makeBritaingreat[/HASHTAG] again![HASHTAG]#nodenialhere[/HASHTAG]!
EU have a stronger hand and are playing it with a chaotic and incompetent negotiating partner. Choice is simple - pay up if you want a trade deal. The 27 might have differences over trade but they are united on the cash. Brexiters can always and will always blame the EU (which doubtless does deserve some blame) rather than their own spineless, useless government.
Quick reminder of the timelines:
June 2016 British people take the decision in principle to leave the EU - no detail of what this means was voted on
Almost immediately EU says the dimensions of the negotiation will be citizenship, Irish border and cash before future trade.
Tories **** around getting new leader
March 2017 Tories set off Article 50, in the full knowledge that it is done to a timetable
Immediately becomes clear that almost no preparation has been done on the British side
Tories **** around with an election which makes them even weaker and more chaotic
October 2017 the EU leaders say give us a bit more clarity on the cash and we will move on to trade after our December meeting
This week, Barnier reminds the British government what it needs to do to get the EU leaders to green light trade discussions at their meeting in December. Miss this deadline it will be March before EU leaders will consider again, meaning no time for various parliaments to consider before March 2019.
We’re obviously being bullied.