The Final Countdown
- Thread starter Joelinton's Right Foot
- Start date
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For me it's all about Huddersfield and no one else now. If they don't convert their game in hand to 3 points they would have to go on one hell of a run and our wheels fall off for us to not get promoted. One of those may happen but not both.
If Huddersfield lose in midweek again, but either Reading or Leeds win, then they would overtake Huddersfield as our closest threat.
It's hardly fair that we could afford wheels, while Huddersfield have to run. I hate it when teams just buy promotion.
Great, new Mafia game. Give me a few days to read these rules butWell..........
-Deep breath-
Let's assume that Leeds don't score an equaliser before I've finished writing this post.......
If we beat Burton on Wednesday and Huddersfield get beat by Norwich then we will only need 9 more points to guarantee promotion. If they are held to a draw by Norwich then we would need 10 points. However, if either Leeds or Reading win on Tuesday, away to Brentford and at home to Blackburn respectively, and Huddersfield get beat, then they would overtake Huddersfield as the greatest threat to us and we would actually need 11 or 12 points to guarantee finishing above them respectively. If they only draw then Huddersfield would stay as our closest challengers mathematically. So if we win then we would need either 9, 10, 11 or 12 points to guarantee promotion. Of course if we draw with Burton that would become 11, 12, 13 or 14. If we lose to Burton it could stay at 15 unless all of Huddersfield, Reading and Leeds failed to win - in which case we would need 10, 11 or 12 points. Whatever happens, we cannot be promoted on Wednesday.
The following weekend, following our game on Wednesday, we play Wednesday at Wednesday - on Saturday. At that stage we would require either 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15 points to clinch promotion. If we win that game against Wednesday and Huddersfield, Leeds and Reading all lose, and assuming that none of them had won on Wednesday, and assuming we had beaten Burton on Wednesday before beating Wednesday on Saturday, then we would require either 3 or 4 points to clinch promotion. However, if we did not beat Wednesday, or we hadn't won on Wednesday, then it is possible that we would require 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15 points with only 15 points available. If we win on Wednesday but only draw against Wednesday on Saturday, or if we draw on Wednesday and then win against Wednesday on Saturday, then we would need 5,6,7,8,9,10 or 11 points. Whatever happens, we cannot be promoted against Wednesday because we would only have played on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday - so not enough time.
However, following our game on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday, we then play Leeds United on Good Friday. Depending on how results go it is possible that it could be a good Friday if we win and we had only needed 3 points to guarantee promotion. It could still be a good Friday on Good Friday even if we needed 4,5 or 6 points going into the game against Leeds, provided we beat Leeds and Reading and Huddersfield both lost. In that scenario a victory against Leeds leads to promotion. However, if we only draw against Leeds then good Friday could still be a Good Friday provided neither of Huddersfield or Reading win, and provided we only needed 3 points going into the game. So technically, to answer your question, if all results go for us then we could be promoted on Good Friday which would indeed be a good Friday. However, seeing as that combination of results is unlikely, I think it would be better to wait and see how things go on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday before trying to work things out properly.
Hope that helps
I'm in.
Well..........
-Deep breath-
Let's assume that Leeds don't score an equaliser before I've finished writing this post.......
If we beat Burton on Wednesday and Huddersfield get beat by Norwich then we will only need 9 more points to guarantee promotion. If they are held to a draw by Norwich then we would need 10 points. However, if either Leeds or Reading win on Tuesday, away to Brentford and at home to Blackburn respectively, and Huddersfield get beat, then they would overtake Huddersfield as the greatest threat to us and we would actually need 11 or 12 points to guarantee finishing above them respectively. If they only draw then Huddersfield would stay as our closest challengers mathematically. So if we win then we would need either 9, 10, 11 or 12 points to guarantee promotion. Of course if we draw with Burton that would become 11, 12, 13 or 14. If we lose to Burton it could stay at 15 unless all of Huddersfield, Reading and Leeds failed to win - in which case we would need 10, 11 or 12 points. Whatever happens, we cannot be promoted on Wednesday.
The following weekend, following our game on Wednesday, we play Wednesday at Wednesday - on Saturday. At that stage we would require either 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15 points to clinch promotion. If we win that game against Wednesday and Huddersfield, Leeds and Reading all lose, and assuming that none of them had won on Wednesday, and assuming we had beaten Burton on Wednesday before beating Wednesday on Saturday, then we would require either 3 or 4 points to clinch promotion. However, if we did not beat Wednesday, or we hadn't won on Wednesday, then it is possible that we would require 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15 points with only 15 points available. If we win on Wednesday but only draw against Wednesday on Saturday, or if we draw on Wednesday and then win against Wednesday on Saturday, then we would need 5,6,7,8,9,10 or 11 points. Whatever happens, we cannot be promoted against Wednesday because we would only have played on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday - so not enough time.
However, following our game on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday, we then play Leeds United on Good Friday. Depending on how results go it is possible that it could be a good Friday if we win and we had only needed 3 points to guarantee promotion. It could still be a good Friday on Good Friday even if we needed 4,5 or 6 points going into the game against Leeds, provided we beat Leeds and Reading and Huddersfield both lost. In that scenario a victory against Leeds leads to promotion. However, if we only draw against Leeds then good Friday could still be a Good Friday provided neither of Huddersfield or Reading win, and provided we only needed 3 points going into the game. So technically, to answer your question, if all results go for us then we could be promoted on Good Friday which would indeed be a good Friday. However, seeing as that combination of results is unlikely, I think it would be better to wait and see how things go on Wednesday and against Wednesday on Saturday before trying to work things out properly.
Hope that helps
Can you run through that again please just so I'm clear as when to start chilling the meths.
That's not right though. We could win 4 and finish on 93 points but Huddersfield can get 8 wins and finish on 95 since they have a game in hand.
It's alright Chippy will have "an insurance" bet on.
Gonna stick £20 on us not getting promoted.
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What about mathematically?
How many different bets have you put on who will/won't get promoted now?You will need insurance bets on your insurance bets.
You will need insurance bets on your insurance bets.
If we don't go up I get £750 ish. Gonna stick £20 on at 40/1 though. Cracking odds.
- May 22, 2011
- 73,301
- 25,365
- 113
Great results this weekend so far. Leeds losing, Huddersfield losing.
With their poor GD have to overtake rather than draw level. You'd think they'd win midweek at home to Norwich unfortunately who are now probably in holiday mood in that mid table area after losing to Villa.
With their poor GD have to overtake rather than draw level. You'd think they'd win midweek at home to Norwich unfortunately who are now probably in holiday mood in that mid table area after losing to Villa.
Probs just under a tonne. Money well spent. As is my £200 house insurance each year
