The Derby

[kentuckyfriedbeefcake]

Carlton House can't win (sorry, marm) and Pour Moi is drifting alarmingly in the betting (Fabre might fancy him, but no one else seems to!!), so that leaves Recital, who I wouldn't back at any price (He had a very awkward head carriage at Leopardstown and that is never a good sign. He's also a big, immature type and the race might have come about siix months too soon for him), and Seville, who ticks most of the boxes. He's got the form, he should act on the course, he'll definitely get home and he's ridden by Christophe Soumillon (1 from 13 at Epsom) who's just about the best jockey in the world at the moment and he doesn't ride that often for O'Brien, which could be significant. I'm a little worried about the ground, but the same could be said for most of the fancied horses. Native Khan will have his supporters, but if Fallon doesn't fancy him, then nor do I. Memphis Tennessee ran a nice race behind Recital at Leopardstown and he could sneak into the frame at a big price.

 

[Chance Gardener]

I'd be a bit wary of backing Soumillon after the ride he gave Visindar a few years ago. Don't get me wrong, he's a brilliant jockey, especially around Longchamp but he's yet to prove that he can ride Epsom well. I'm going to go for the proven jockey around Epsom and that's Fallon. Recital might be a bit of a nutcase but all the good Montjeu's are a bit like that. If anyone can sort him out, Fallon can, that's assuming the judge lets him ride tomorrow.

 

[Flyingbolt]

Fallon has had £100 win on Seville...........................allegedly!
Apparently the horse is back in court tomorrow requesting a gagging order.....or AOB might have said he'll run with a tongue-tie.............?