The extra half win that we have means that Lancs need to better our points tally to finish above us. Which means needing to collect at least 5 more points than us next week - which is very, very difficult to do in a draw. So basically Lancs must beat us to have any chance at all.
That would suggest that they might produce a result pitch. Or, at the very least, something which isn't 500 plays 400. Hence a high scoring draw is surely out of the question - and that is what we would have needed to hold off a Notts win vs Yorks, in the event that we only draw. Notts would very likely overtake us if they win and we can only add a low scoring draw to our 6.5 point lead over them. That said, even a maximum bonus point draw wouldn't be enough to hold off two Warks wins (or two Yorks wins). And therefore, realistically, next week is almost as much of a must win for us as it is for Lancs.
I suppose for the neutral, a Yorks win tomorrow would be best. It'll be a four-way fight for the title next week regardless (not to mention the two places in the BWT final) - assuming the rain stays away tomorrow, and it's not a tie! - but if Yorks win, then all those four sides will be involved in the same two games. But surely Warks have to be heavy favourites to win it?
That would suggest that they might produce a result pitch. Or, at the very least, something which isn't 500 plays 400. Hence a high scoring draw is surely out of the question - and that is what we would have needed to hold off a Notts win vs Yorks, in the event that we only draw. Notts would very likely overtake us if they win and we can only add a low scoring draw to our 6.5 point lead over them. That said, even a maximum bonus point draw wouldn't be enough to hold off two Warks wins (or two Yorks wins). And therefore, realistically, next week is almost as much of a must win for us as it is for Lancs.
I suppose for the neutral, a Yorks win tomorrow would be best. It'll be a four-way fight for the title next week regardless (not to mention the two places in the BWT final) - assuming the rain stays away tomorrow, and it's not a tie! - but if Yorks win, then all those four sides will be involved in the same two games. But surely Warks have to be heavy favourites to win it?
