I tend to lay bets off when possible at decent odds. I think it's not something to regret, rather something to be satisfied about!
I cant argue with your logic there Cyc, I guess what i was getting at was how do you define a losing bet as a good run for your money (afterall you have invested your hard earned) but now when i think about it, if you include emotional ties into a bet, your probably right. I had a love affair with a horse called Knowhere..backed it blind everytime, and if it completed a race, i guess subconciously i decided i had a good run for my money
Bloody Hell. Decoy in to 15/8 with 3 bookies. I gave someone good value, laying it off at 3s (not available anywhere) and looking like the biggest mover of the day. Still it's nice to know I don't really care. Wouldn't mind doing that every day.
I'm going to try that again. Again, modest stake. Bet Victor is offering 10/1 about Angel Sun (15.15 Wetherby) so I'll have £100 at those odds and look to lay it off tomorrow.
I was seriously considering taking the 5/4 that the same bookie is offering for APs mount Winning Habit. £400 would give an average of evens the 2 against the field. The fav is way ahead on form but hung and flashed his tail last outing. Maybe with AP taking ride this time he will drive the fav home. I have to make a choice between: (a) leaving the fav out and hoping to lay off my 10/1 bet tomorrow and (b) £400 on the fav and let the 10/1 bet stand. Option (b) is an outlay of £500 and if either win I make a profit of £600 or £400. I have decided on option (b) So my final bet is: £100 win Angel Sun @ 10/1 (15.15 Wetherby) £400 win Winning Habit @ 5/4 (15.15 Wetherby)
Winning Habit 14lbs well in apparently, which means 5/4 looks like value. incidentally, why didn't you back Angel Sun e/w? The place part of the bet is often excellent value (that word again), because the bookies have to price up on the win market. That's why many on course bookies prefer to bet win-only.
Didn't see that coming. My selection gets backed down to 8/1 then suddenly 20s across the board. Would love to know why. Re the fav. I originally dismissed it because in its previous race it hung in and swished its tail. Then my afterthought was that AP was booked to ride which I thought might make a difference. Didn't consider the winner at all and it romped in. Not sure what happened but that was a £500 loss. Balance now at £11,660. (ie +£1,660)
Having a little play tomorrow. Silly bet probably. Eshtibaak - Kempton 15.30 @ 5/2 B365 Fentara - 16.10 Uttoxeter @ 9/2 B365 Realt Dubh - 17.20 Navan @ 5/4 B365 £50 win trixie with B365 at B365 odds above Stake £200. Goes right against my principles of single bets only.
Looking at the way the betting is going in this race I could have backed the first 4 favs and made a profit whichever wins. Shall I shan't I? With Klynch & Toby Tyler as possible long shots I'll just chance my luck on the one and leave as is.
Well I was right not to back the other 3 favs in the race. My selection drifted right out to 9/1 so surely wasn't expected to win; finished 2nd, beaten by a 25/1 shot which, according to Timeform "Not as effective on turf, but has a lower mark to exploit and can go well fresh." Bank balance now at £11,260
ROTO seems to have identified a decent bet today at 2/1. That has gone but I'm happy to grab the 7/4 still available. £400 win Berties Dream 5.45 Thurles @ 7/4 (BS & SB)
I'm going to put £100 of the winnings from ROTO's tip yesterday on his tip today "2.20 Exeter Timmies Gone 14/1" Corals now go 9/1 but PP are offering 16/1. So it's £100 win Timmies Gone 16/1 2.20 Exeter
Wow that 16s didn't last long. PP now going 11s. Someone must be going round the bookies piling cash on and got to PP last.
