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The £10k Betting Experiment (Stage 1) - FINISHED

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Ron, Mar 25, 2012.

  1. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Chamonix 11/8 Bet V and BS - £80 win


    Llewellyn 2/1 PP - £100 win
     
    #261
  2. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    To summarise earlier posts

    Sandown 19.30 - Shavansky at 6/1 - £50 win

    Killarney 17.40 - Chamonix 11/8 - £80 win

    Catterick 14.40 - Llewellyn 2/1 - £100 win
     
    #262
  3. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Killarney 17.40 - Chamonix 11/8 - £80 win Won

    Catterick 14.40 - Llewellyn 2/1 - £100 win Lost (2nd)

    Sandown 19.30 - Shavansky at 6/1 - £50 win Lost (2nd) According to Timeform radio a shocking ride having raced "a furlong further than the winner"

    Doesn't help though.
     
    #263
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Tomorrow Leopardstown 18.45 Rawaaq at 4/1 B365 £100 win
     
    #264
  5. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    A little bit of money around for that Rawaaq Ron! Youve drawn my attention to this and i'm a little bit interested myself now..might wait and see how the market plays out i think 4s probably will be the top end price.
     
    #265
  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Looks to have form way above the rest Ardent. I was surprised to see those odds to be honest; thought it would be favourite.

    Timeform seem to like Harasiya and also prefer True Verdict to mine.
     
    #266
  7. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Leopardstown 18.45 Rawaaq at 4/1 Drifted to 11/2
    Held up in rear, progress when not clear run early in straight, never on terms. Wouldn't have won. The winner clearly useful.

    Lost £100

    Balances

    Betting Bank £2,510
    Piggy Bank £14,388
     
    #267
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Tomorrow Ascot 3.55 Elna Bright £100ew at 12/1 general
     
    #268
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I notice Elna Bright is top priced 7/1 at present. Time to consider laying off?
     
    #269
  10. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I'm going to start off with a speculative £1k win on Themilanhorse 15.55 Wincanton @ 5/2
     
    #270

  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Ok with the 7s completely gone I'll lay off the win portion at 7/1 to £100

    Ascot 355.JPG
     
    #271
  12. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    So, if unplaced I lose £100
    If placed I make £300
    If win I make £800
     
    #272
  13. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Just as well I laid off some of it. That looked a decent book on that race. However, never looked like winning (or placing). Net loss £100.
     
    #273
  14. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Can't be confident at Ascot but will just have small wagers for interest when watching on TV

    Ascot
    15.55 Lightning Cloud £20 win SP
    16.35 Sea Moon £20 win SP

    Ripon
    15.40 Guarantee 11/8 WH & BS £800 win
     
    #274
  15. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Balances:
    Betting Bank £2,370
    Piggy Bank £15,488
     
    #275
  16. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    That Guarantee ran a decent race well done with that one a nice £1100 QUID!
     
    #276
  17. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    so you've invested 7630 to return over 15k. That's a massive return over investment. Don't think I've seen any better on the forum. Many on the forum get an odd big priced winner amongst many many losers. This is a consistant return as good as I've seen. In perspective if your pro and bet 250K in the same period on these selections you've doubled that. Excellent!
     
    #277
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Thanks Ardent. As I'm showing a decent profit in the Piggy Bank I'm going to go speculative tomorrow so my overall return could take a hit.

    Ascot 16.00 Eshtibaak 4/1 gen £1,000 win

    Curragh 15.20 Great Heavens 15/8 gen £800 win

    £100 win double at those odds

    If these both lose that will be almost the end of the experiment.
     
    #278
  19. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    How do you work that out Ardent. I've staked £19,080 (net of lays). £7,630 were losing bets. The other £11,450 has returned £26,938, or a profit of £15,488 which is in the Piggy Bank.

    If I lose the remaining Betting Bank I will have ended up with £15,488 (ie a profit of £5,488 or 54.88% on the original bank of £10,000).
     
    #279
  20. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    I see that now.
     
    #280

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