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The £10k Betting Experiment (Stage 1) - FINISHED

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Ron, Mar 25, 2012.

  1. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    please log in to view this image
     
    #201
  2. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    You cant get an exact 4/9 to show on Betfair Ron the exact profit would be 193.

    Can only put in 1.44 and 4/9 is 1.4444
     
    #202
  3. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    I didn't take the 4/9 on Betfair Joe. It was freely on offer with regular bookies at 1/2 and I just missed it and took the 4/9. For the purpose of this exercise I don't actually use the exchanges for bets. And, apart from your assistance today, I don't touch them when I lay off - I just look at the odds offered by regular bookies and lay off at better odds (eg today BC was being offered at best priced 2/9 so I assumed I could easily lay off at 1/4). I've explained that in the original post for anyone who is interested.
     
    #203
  4. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    I know, thats why Im saying the exact profit would be 193 <ok> 198 is the profit if you had 900 at 1.45, you had 900 at 1.4444
     
    #204
  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Ah. I see what you mean. Cheers.
     
    #205
  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Black Caviar - Net profit after laying off = £193
    Lightning Cloud - Lost £200
    Move To Strike - Lost £800
    Sea Moon - Won £700

    Net loss £107

    Balance:

    Plan A. Betting Bank £16,148: Piggy Bank £0
    Plan B. Betting Bank £7,280: Piggy Bank £8,868
     
    #206
  7. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Monday Windsor 19.10 Sir Pedro 9/4 (WH & LAD) £400 win
     
    #207
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    LOST

    Balance:

    Plan A. Betting Bank £15,748: Piggy Bank £0
    Plan B. Betting Bank £6,880: Piggy Bank £8,868
     
    #208
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Saturday
    Newmarket 2.00 Michelangelo Evs (var) £200 win

    Newcastle 2.15 Our Jonathan 3/1 (var) £200 win
     
    #209
  10. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Michelangelo W - Profit £200
    Our Jonathan L - Loss £200

    Net profit = 0

    Balance:

    Plan A. Betting Bank £15,748: Piggy Bank £0
    Plan B. Betting Bank £6,680: Piggy Bank £9,068
     
    #210

  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Monday Pontefract 4.00

    EH.JPG

    Evs for Euxton Hall

    £1,000 win at Evs PP
     
    #211
  12. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Phew. Bit worried for a moment there but made it OK in the end.

    Balance:

    Plan A. Betting Bank £16,748: Piggy Bank £0
    Plan B. Betting Bank £6,680: Piggy Bank £10,068
     
    #212
  13. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Waiting to see the odds for the 4.45 Brighton tomorrow.
     
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  14. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    4.45 Brighton tomorrow

    BR445.JPG

    Shouda £400 win 9/4
     
    #214
  15. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Completion of exercise: I have been operating 2 plans. Plan A is simply a running account; Plan B ploughs all profits into a Piggy Bank with the Betting Bank being reduced by losing bets. From today (Tuesday 3rd July 2012) I will be operating Plan B only and the exercise will be completed when my Betting Bank is expired.

    Pre today's bet the balances are:

    Betting Bank £6,680: Piggy Bank £10,068

    So, if I manage to blow the rest of my Betting Bank without another win, I will have made a profit of £68.
     
    #215
  16. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Correction: Having transferred the bets to a spreadsheet I have discovered that somewhere down the line I didn't adjust the bank correctly and also, having processed each bet individually from outset, there should be more in the Piggy Bank and less in the Betting Bank.

    The revised balances are:
    Betting Bank: £3,040
    Piggy Bank: £12,768
     
    #216
  17. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Nice one with Shouda Ron <applause>
     
    #217
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    A few anxious moments but Shouda Won - Profit £900

    Betting Bank: £3,040
    Piggy Bank: £13,668
     
    #218
  19. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    Nice call that Shouda well done!
     
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  20. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Thanks folks but, tbh, I was more chuffed with getting the Evs for Euxton Hall.
     
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