One of the best races ive ever seen. Justify is a monster and probably the best horse in the race but im against him, just think its the percentage call to take him on given his limited experience, he will be running against more horses in this race than he has faced in his 3 races combined I think. I dont think Bolt Doro or Good Magic will be good enough but id say both would be certain top 3 horses in a normal year, just not this year.
Im pretty sure that im with Mendelssohn but its really annoying that his only dirt race was on the biggest track bias of all time, it just leaves a doubt, normally id be against him based on that but even given the bias he was still impressive, his previous form and his pedigree make him a major player, and he has an experience edge over the two I rate as his dangers. The only other horse that could tempt me away from Mendelssohn is Magnum Moon, maybe if Mendelssohn draws 1 or 20. He got a very easy lead in the Arkansas Derby and drifted out to the middle of the track but I think hes another very talented horse who id be fancying strongly to win in a normal year.
My Instilled Regard just did not progress at all but hes managed to sneak into the field and will be staying on in the straight, probably for 5th or 6th at best. My Boy Jack is an interesting outsider if they get a downpour, hes a bit of a monkey but if the pace collapses he could run into the places.
7/1
