I think the fact that First Lieutenant has been diverted to the 2m Novice Chase whilst Sir Des Champs takes his place in the 3m tells you all you need to know. I think he'll improve considerably for the step up in trip. He's been crying out for it in my opinion.
Where've you heard FL runs in the 2 miler? He's still entered in both and I've not seen anything announced.
There's a number of reasons why FL may not run in the 3miler on the Tuesday.
He's proven over that distance against top opposition whereas SDC isn't. They may want to see where they're at with SDC.
It was seemingly a toss up over who ran where at Cheltenham. FL's superior novice hurdle form probably swayed things in his favour. It could have been the arrangement all along for SDC to get his chance over 3m this week as a trade off for not running in the RSA.
FL is a spring ground horse who excels at Cheltenham. Maybe they think Punchey isn't going to suit as much as Cheltenham does.
FL had a much tougher race in what is traditionally a much tougher race so may need the break.
Gigginstown Stud may also be wary of giving SDC and FL unnecessarily hard races by teeing them off against each other so could be swerving each other for that reason.
I'm 100% not saying SDC isn't potentially a top class chaser. All I'm saying is his reputation is built on beating average horses and hype from the yard. So far he's not proven much more than he's better than Champion Court which, if taken on face value, means he's not really proven anything. I like Keighley's horse but he's never going to be winning grade one races against older generations.
We've seen the hype machine numerous times from Willie Mullins. Cooldine, Mikael D'Haguenet, Zaidpour, Cousin Vinny, So Young. All of them were supposed to be the second coming and none of them have done it after their juvenile season over their chosen obstacle.
Gigginstown are also not afraid to run their horses against each other so we may see them take each other on. They didn't at Cheltenham because there's two quality races that time told they either won or came extremely close to winning and we all know Cheltenham is a different ball game to every other festival. Eventually, they will run against each other though and if I had to back one of them on what we've seen up to now, I'd be backing FL (if it was at Cheltenham in Spring).