Very interesting week in terms of developments. One of the most unpredictable and, morbidly, intriguing conflicts in living memory. Quick snapshot of where things stand now:
Russian "withdrawal"
So Putin unexpectedly declared a pull out of Russian military operatives in Syria. Alot of conflicting views as to the rationale behind this and whether this represents a 'defeat' for the Russian forces. Majority consensus seems to be that Putin has stuck to his word, achieved the objectives set out at the beginning of the intervention - set the arena up for a political solution and they are 'quitting' while ahead.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/16/u...ithdrawal-russia-stays-a-step-ahead.html?_r=2
But what is the extent of the withdrawal. Reports are a sizeable contingent of jets will remain. The SU-35S fighers that remain are dedicated air superiority fighters - potentially a warning to Turkey to not get too many ideas.
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Videos also surfacing of the arrival of Russia's 2 most advanced attack helicopters - Mi-28N and Ka-52 at Hmeymin airbase. Appears Russia are switching to helicopter based CAS, more than likely for the ongoing assault on Palmyra. The current Mi-24 models can only provide daylight support and are significantly more vulnerable to MANPADs on the ground.
Mi-28N at 0:16 -
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Unassembled Ka-52 in the background -
http://i.imgur.com/1AZOS67.jpg
Rojava / Kurdistan
Seems the kurdish administration is to declare a federal Syrian Kurdistan - date marked for 21/3.
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Unsurprisingly, the Turks arent enthused
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/tu...idity.aspx?pageID=238&nID=96524&NewsCatID=352
America say they will not recognise such a move:
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Kurds claim America was present at conference discussing creation of a federal state
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Fight against Daesh
Syrian army is now camped on the outskirts of Palmyra and are securing hilltops and ridges surrounding the city before the true push to take it.
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They do appear to be taking heavy casualties however. 'Sacrificed' seems to be a strange term to use in this context but whatever.
http://en.abna24.com/service/middle-east-west-asia/archive/2016/03/16/741422/story.html
Generally appears that in Syria at least IS is a busted flush and no longer possess large scale offensive ability. As if to prove this, the beseiged SAA 5th Brigade in Dier-az Zor are on the move. Keep in mind they have been beseiged for the best part of 2 years and have endured continual human wave assaults from IS in that time. That they are advancing out, in the middle of IS controlled territory is hugely significant.
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http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13941226000415
Signs of desperation among IS ranks as they publicly execute 50 men for 'desertion'...
http://aranews.net/2016/03/isis-executes-50-militants-trying-escape-battlefront/
.. and increase 'recruitment' of child soldiers
http://aranews.net/2016/03/isis-recruits-child-soldiers-compensate-loss-militant-fighters/
Rebel Infighting
Seems the Russians knew all along that by imposing a ceasefire and removing a common enemy, the rebels would begin snapping among themselves. Began with Al-Nusra evicting Division 13 from Marat al-Numan
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/...ts-backed-fighters-syria-160314075333200.html
Citizens not happy
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/syria-maar...as-nusra-front-after-attack-us-backed-1549421
http://aranews.net/2016/03/syrians-protest-al-qaeda-idlib-break-nusra-headquarters/
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There is your Syria update
