I happen to believe that they will probably get both a negotiated entry into the EU and some form of currency union with sterling though it will be without any lender of last resort basis and therefore submit "independent" Scotland to fiscal policy set by westminster but it will be ok for Salmonds ego. The fact is that this is opinion only and the same goes for when any of the so called experts state these opinions. Come on Bolton... Levrat in his article uses the "imagine" word oh so regularly indicating that much of the article is "imagination", not so authoritative then eh....???
I agree Aberdeen - surely most people would want to see Scotland admitted to the EU if that is what they want. Also I am sure that a currency union with rUK is negotiable - even though it actually means giving control of interest rates and money supply to a foreign government who has no "duty of care" towards them and will inevitably be bound to do what is right for rUK whether or not Scotland wants it.
What has irritated me in this debate though is the way the Yes campaign do not have the balls to accept that there are negatives and difficult hurdles to overcome in the future. They blithely claim that everything is bound to turn out all right and sneer at anyone who raises perfectly valid questions - as if questioning a major change is not the right thing to do.
Part of my career was investing in companies. People would come along and claim all sorts of wonderful things they had invented, got a license for or developed and wanted your money to go further. My job was to test those claims, assess the risks and to decide how much optimism / pessimism was built into their forecasts. You did this by questioning them to make sure they had fully assessed the risks and had contingency plans and alternatives if their hoped for solutions did not work. Scottish independence is a similar case - it needs to be undertaken by people with their eyes wide open and telling the truth to people they want to "invest" in this new future - their fellow Scots
