Daily Racing Thread Saturday 3rd Oct. 2015

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OddDog

OddDog

Mild mannered janitor
Staff member
Jun 2, 2011
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Berlin, Germany
Saturday's Meetings

Ascot
Flat 6 Races 2:00-4:55p.m.
Newmarket
Flat 7 Races 1:45-5:15p.m.
Redcar
Flat 8 Races 1:50-5:50p.m.
Fontwell Park
NH 7 Races 2:10-5:30p.m.
Wolverhampton
AW 7 Races 6:00-9:00p.m.
Gowran Park
NH 7 Races 2:20-5:40p.m.

and of course ....................

Longchamp
Flat 8 Races 1:30-5:25p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Racing Post
Sporting Life

Good Luck <ok>
 
I shall say this only once.

Off to Newmarket tomorrow, to back Esoterique in what looks an otherwise pretty ordinary Sun Chariot, and to say Allo'Allo'Allo to her jockey, PC Boudot.
 
Have a great day Rainer. I expect you to be in pocket, with only a rejuvenated Integral being any danger
 
4 races interest me tomorrow.
Newmarket 16.40. Don't know what happened to Endless Time lto but before that beat Simple Verse. That will do for me. Leah Freya is an obvious threat but all her form has been at the switchback courses Epsom and Lingfield (her last 4 races have been at Epsom). Biggest danger though is the Stoute improver Moonlight Sonata

Newmarket 15.30. This looks like a penalty kick for the Fabre challenger Esoterique with only a rejuvenated Integral (Stoute again) likely to cause a problem.

Redcar 17.35. Celestial Path returns from a good 5th in the 2000Gns. 3rd in the Racing Post last year. Surely, if tuned up, should win. Plenty of opposition though with So beloved, Top Notch Tonto, Tupi, and maybe Zarawan, taking him on. The 2/1 on offer is far too skinny for me though with such a long lay off.

Ascot 15.45. So open this one that with the favourite (whichever one that turns out to be) likely tio be 5/1 or more, I'm going 5 against the field for Cyc's comp. - Buckstay, Mr Win, Make It Up, Gabriel's Lad, Outback Traveller
 
Ascot
2.00 Holly Shiftwell 33-1 EW
This is a value bet in a very open race indeed as there is no horse you could genuinely expect to win this race and none you would be surprised about should they get their head in front. The selection is chosen entirely on value and has run ok in equivalent races so given a bit of luck in running could easily run a place if not better.
 
SaveTheHumans said:
Would you not give Bawina a squeak in the 3:30?
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Yes but, to be honest, you couldn't really rule any of them out. You could make a case for most of them. I was trying narrow it down and Esoterique (what a lovely name for a filly by the way) trained by A Fabre, best form in the race - and she is a granddaughter of Dancing Brave (we have one of those at home and we've had 2 lovely foals from her)
 
stick said:
Yard fancy Professor but sadly Pricewise has tipped it also
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Was looking at that or outback traveler in the same race - got it at 16's so thought it was good each way but also thought union rose was the same
 
Super card at Gowran for the time of year and I've 2 I like in it.

4.00 Gowran Duckweed 14/1
Bit of a cliff horse but ran well over an inadequate trip at Galway last time with yesterdays winner Daisy's Gift in behind. Has a weight pull with the stablemate whose half the price and Duckweed should like the step up more. Tricky race.

4.35 Gowran Shanahans Turn 5/2
This race looks a classy little event to me with a field packed full of improvers. Last year we saw the Gold Cup 3rd Road to Riches just touched off in it by a Henry de Bromhead horse and I'm hoping the stable can take it for the 5th consecutive year with the Galway Plate winner. The obvious danger (and best long term prospect) is Clarcam whose novice form is straight out of the top drawer, look at what beats him! Texas Jack can go close on these terms too, and a case can be made for a few others including Alelchi Inois who fluffed his lines badly previously. I'm hoping Henry's improver with match fitness on his side, wins the day for me.
 
First bet of NH season, Clarcam in the Gowran feature. Very smart novice last season and he is the type to go on from that and have a good second season. Pretty weak field against him and the price looks generous.
His main market rival is a handicap winner and he should have too much class for that one.
 
rainermariarilke said:
I shall say this only once.

Off to Newmarket tomorrow, to back Esoterique in what looks an otherwise pretty ordinary Sun Chariot, and to say Allo'Allo'Allo to her jockey, PC Boudot.
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Bon chance with that mate. Though I'll be hoping you end up saying au revoir to the hindquarters of the fallen Dalakhani mare with ze big boobies.
 
3.45 Ascot- HEAVENS GUEST- 14/1

Produces his best races here and is running off a mark of 107 today - the talented Sammy Jo Bell takes off 3lbs which means he is running off 104 which is 1lb lower than his highest winning mark this year. Won this race in 2013 and third in this last year. SJB gets on very well with him and although a couple could be on some pretty decent marks my fellow should get placed at least
 
Saturday’s Arc weekend under-card could prove to be particularly interesting from the point of view of Sunday punters as it is an opportunity to see how the ground is riding and the races are run. Glad I did not gamble on going as once again they have moved the start back to 2:30 local time so it could be virtually dark by the last two races like last year!

Prix Vermeille runner-up Candarliya faces seven rivals in the Prix de Royallieu, one of which is John Gosden’s Martlet, winner of the Listed Galtres Stakes at York’s Ebor meeting. None of the other fillies can boast anything better than Group 3 form, the highest level at which Christophe Soumillon’s mount has won, so she needs to win this convincingly to frank the form of her Group 1 second last time.

There is going to be much attention paid to the old warrior Cirrus Des Aigles as he attempts to win the Prix Dollar for the fourth time; however, he is clearly not the force of old and should be avoided on drying ground. Last year’s victor Fractional was disappointing at Deauville and Godolphin veteran French Navy (an ex-Andre Fabre horse) has not been seen since beating Arod in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes back in April but has won before when fresh.

The Prix Daniel Wildenstein sees last year’s 1000 Guineas winner Miss France take on the Prix Du Moulin runner-up Akatea; and the latter is taken to show that her running behind Ervedya was no fluke in the race easily won last year by Solow. Of the other four, Impassable looks the best but has not been out since May.

rainermariarilke said:
Off to Newmarket tomorrow, to back Esoterique in what looks an otherwise pretty ordinary Sun Chariot
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Ron said:
This looks like a penalty kick for the Fabre challenger Esoterique with only a rejuvenated Integral (Stoute again) likely to cause a problem.
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It could be a day to forget for Andre Fabre as he has favourite Esoterique running in the Sun Chariot Stakes (3:30) at Newmarket but the quick ground could be her undoing, despite her win in the Prix Jacques le Marois being the best form in the race. Sir Michael Stoute’s INTEGRAL has not been seen since disappointing at Royal Ascot but she won this last year when unfancied.

Over at Ascot the favourite should be avoided in the first as it is a favourite’s graveyard whilst Romsdal should be avoided in the Cumberland Lodge as John Gosden’s chestnut is the best horse on the ratings but has never won on turf. The dead ground at Newmarket last time clearly did not help MUFFRI’HA, so she gets one last chance in the 4:20.
 
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