After last Saturday’s three winners from three, these are the ones to avoid as lightning definitely does not strike twice with me! Plus there seem to be a lot of good favourites today...
At Newmarket on Guineas day, Havana Grey looked fantastic (for a grey) before the Palace House but he had no chance as a three year old at WFA, so why is he re-opposing winner Mabs Cross when he still has no chance? At the ratings, an eighty per cent fit Battaash should win this easily even with the Group 1 penalty; hence the odds.
In the three year old sprint on the same card, I really like HEARTACHE, although I do not expect she is as good as last year’s winner from the same yard. Cox is banging in the winners and I suspect that she is a decent price because of the step up to six furlongs; and I am hoping that there is no deluge at Newton-Le-Willows before race time that turns it into a real test of stamina. Fahey regards Sands Of Mali as a Group 1 horse – he may need to be as this race looks hot.
The form pick in the Irish 2000 Guineas is clearly Newmarket fourth Elarqam and I cannot see any reason why Gustav Klimt will reverse the form and after this race U S Navy Flag will drop back to sprinting. The bad news is that Crowley is aboard and he never seems to win on the Hamdan horses for me, so I will just watch at the price. Most of the home team seem to be just making up the numbers but I am fascinated to see Newmarket handicap winner Symbolization pitched in here by Godolphin.
Over at Goodwood in the 4:20, Sir Mark Prescott’s MELINOE, second on her seasonal bow on quicker ground, is certainly consistent. The concern is just the one career win from ten starts with six places... is she always going to find one or two too good? Today is the longest price she has been in a while.
Over at Chester, second favourite in the 2:20: GOLD FILIGREE. I know somebody connected with the horse and it was originally entered for a valuable race at York’s Dante meeting (where it was quietly fancied) but is here on the Roodeye instead looking to supplement a good win in a valuable Chelmsford race with the same girl up. If she rides Chester badly, another second could be on the cards – already has five in ten starts!
Also at Chester, I have been told JABBAAR in the 4:40 but my mate’s text reads “Chester 4-40 Jabbaar”, so that is all the info that I have – plus it is another favourite! Usual wealth warning applies...
