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Sat 15th September (St.Leger Day) Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by SaveTheHumans, Sep 14, 2012.

  1. Mick

    Mick Probably won't answer PMs
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    There are a number of ways of deriving value out of it, as you say you could back the 2nd fav each way, you will be getting 9/4 the place, lay off the place on betfair at 2.2 to guarantee profit and keep the win part of the bet and hope for the best.

    All you really need to know is that a place book which is betting to 237% on 3 places equals about 80% per place. Anything below a 100% book is profitable in the longer term, 80% is extremely profitable. They are betting to 114% on the win part of the book though, which means you can expect to lose on that part of the bet over the longer term - it's just the value on the place part more than cancels out the loss you will make on the win part.

    The best value horse to back would be Thomas Chippendale at 25/1 each way with 365, I'm not sure I can bring myself to back something I don't fancy to win even if it is cracking value.
     
    #41
  2. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    Rebecca Romero is most definitely the victim of the unluckiest loser/one of the worst rides I have ever seen by Eddie Ahern. He could of easily switched her out wide but he tried to wait for a gap that was never going to appear and she gets beaten by a length when still on the bridle.
     
    #42
  3. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    I hate Eddie Ahern. Screws up my pick and then goes on to pip Vestibule for me.
     
    #43
  4. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    mick, none of us are interested in that ****, give us a good 5/1 shot

    we are not arbers, we are real punters
     
    #44
  5. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    Steps
     
    #45
  6. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    oh god prepare for a more smug than usual Boris.


    fair play though, nice shout
     
    #46
  7. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    Doc Hay <laugh>

    <cracker>

    40s for the gold cup <rofl> im on are you?
     
    #47
  8. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Brilliant Joe <applause>
     
    #48
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Well done Joe.
     
    #49
  10. hawkeye

    hawkeye Well-Known Member

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    just took 33/1 with boyles
     
    #50

  11. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Plop fizz ..................... it's a Warsteiner <cheers>

    Well done on the winners so far lads <applause>

    AOB says Camelot is unlike any horse he's ever had - he's got 5 legs and 3 dicks <laugh>
     
    #51
  12. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Buzzing for the leger - come on CAMELOTTTTT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Odddy <rofl> watching interview on ch4 - within 10 seconds he had mentioned "THE LADS" <laugh> <laugh>
     
    #52
  13. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    Camelot is the best horse O'Brien has ever had....until next year.
     
    #53
  14. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    Hope Camelot wins on the bit, like the champ he is.

    but Ursa Major e/w
     
    #54
  15. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Feck me Anton Ferdinand didn't shake hands with John Terry and Ashley Cole. I don't think I can carry on living after hearing that devastating news. It just all doesn't seem worth it any more, it's such a shatteringly sad state of affairs .........................































    IS IT **** !!!!! WHAT A LOAD OF OLD BOLLOCKS. THEY SHOULD GO OUT AND HAVE A FEW PINTS TOGETHER AND MAYBE A SPIT-ROAST <laugh>
     
    #55
  16. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    If Camelot stays he wins, simple as. None of these are within half a stone of him
     
    #56
  17. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    main sequence e/w
     
    #57
  18. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Ahhhh NOOOOOOOOOOOOO
     
    #58
  19. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    not the best ride imho.
     
    #59
  20. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Inspired ride from Barzelona
     
    #60

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