Off Topic Politics Thread

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This is an example of the levels of mendacity being exhibited by the Brexit Bunch.

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It's an EU trade deal, negotiated by the EU regarding trade between Japan and (you've guessed it) the EU.

Yet here we have a Brexit-supporting buffoon implying that it's a sign of how well the UK can trade with Japan.

What a ****ing triumph!

Vin

Misleading, in fact untrue statements such as the above should have legally enforced penalties. A second referendum would be littered with similar lies and deceits.

Jab
 
Misleading, in fact untrue statements such as the above should have legally enforced penalties. A second referendum would be littered with similar lies and deceits.

Jab
yup, will be many lies about the affects of Brexit both ways but at least we would know what we are voting for as that's been written down and agreed on, which is a massive improvement on the previous one.
 
Enjoy the weekend before the storm begins. If May does not get the support of the MPs, what is the betting she will form a National Government and ask for an extensión to Article 50 indefinitely? It would give everyone a chance to clear their heads and get on with the real business of Government such as Health, Education, policing, transport, support for industry and training, restoring handouts to local Governments to levels last seen in the Brown years,

There is the saying that "History repeats itself." It happened in the late 1840s when many elements in the ruling Conservative party were very hostile to the repeal of the Corn Laws, while today we have elements within this same party advocating the madness of a "No Deal." We saw it in the late 1920s. I am sure we will see it this year.
 
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Enjoy the weekend before the storm begins. If May does not get the support of the MPs, what is the betting she will form a National Government and ask for an extensión to Article 50 indefinitely? It would give everyone a chance to clear their heads and get on with the real business of Government such as Health, Education, policing, transport, support for industry and training, restoring handouts to local Governments to levels last seen in the Brown years,

There is the saying that "History repeats itself." It happened in the late 1840s when many elements in the ruling Conservative party were very hostile to the repeal of the Corn Laws, while today we have elements within this same party advocating the madness of a "No Deal." We saw it in the late 1920s. I am sure we will see it this year.

I predicted an extension weeks/months ago. You are pretty much on the money there. She will lose the vote. She won't resign. Corbyn won't know what to do. She'll come back with a suggestion of what she will try to do which will be "beg for a concession."

Corbyn won't know what to do because he still won't have the numbers for a confidence vote and he is hoping she will just resign.

But the extension won't be requested until much closer to the deadline in March (I would guess) and there is no way the EU will accept the "indefinite" part. It will be a fixed extension which is really just a paper title because any deal they do make was going to have a transitional period anyway.
 
Enjoy the weekend before the storm begins. If May does not get the support of the MPs, what is the betting she will form a National Government and ask for an extensión to Article 50 indefinitely? It would give everyone a chance to clear their heads and get on with the real business of Government such as Health, Education, policing, transport, support for industry and training, restoring handouts to local Governments to levels last seen in the Brown years,

There is the saying that "History repeats itself." It happened in the late 1840s when many elements in the ruling Conservative party were very hostile to the repeal of the Corn Laws, while today we have elements within this same party advocating the madness of a "No Deal." We saw it in the late 1920s. I am sure we will see it this year.
May won’t do anything of the sort, as nobody would support her as PM in a National Government. She has achieved the unique position in our history of becoming an authoritarian dictator without even the support of a huge section of her own party. The only legitimate action she can take following defeat on Tuesday is to resign and call a General Election.

I do agree something has to be done about Article 50, but the EU won’t allow extension on any terms, we have to have specific grounds for thinking that a new deal can be negotiated. A General Election followed by a Labour government would mean this is possible, without the iniquitous red lines that May has strangled herself with.

Personally, I would rather Parliament votes through an amendment to revoke Article 50 unilaterally, which is a legally valid move. That would allow time for a General Election and/or a second referendum. If, after all the potential chaos and hardship of Brexit which we now know awaits us the people still want to leave, then Article 50 can be triggered again, but only after a new trading and political relationship has already been agreed, with a full Customs Union in place.
 
This is an excellent thread and should be read in full.

For what it's worth, David Allen Green is strongly anti-EU (I know that the Brexit bunch insist that only their supporters' voices matter).

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And here it is rolled up onto a single web page:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1083290033082249217.html

Vin

If you're interested in a response, this article counters that exact thread

"Yet in his analysis, DAG consistently elevates the ends over the means. He attacks as “constitutional outrages” Government actions of which he disapproves, despite their being within the rules, and defends Bercow’s shattering precedents in pursuit of a cause which he supports as fine constitutional conduct.":

https://www.conservativehome.com/th...abit-of-constitutional-outrages-is-false.html
 
If you're interested in a response, this article counters that exact thread

"Yet in his analysis, DAG consistently elevates the ends over the means. He attacks as “constitutional outrages” Government actions of which he disapproves, despite their being within the rules, and defends Bercow’s shattering precedents in pursuit of a cause which he supports as fine constitutional conduct.":

https://www.conservativehome.com/th...abit-of-constitutional-outrages-is-false.html

Interesting language.

"very bad form." "You might count it poor sportsmanship"

Indeed, you might. Or, you might see something a little more serious than someone bending the rules in a cricket match.

This is a government trampling (OK, if you insist when it comes to Henry VIII power, "trying to trample") on Parliament. And then that same government's acting all hurt when the speaker, one of whose jobs is to protect parliament from overreach by the executive, does just that. As it happens, I dislike the fact that Bercow overreached. However, I'm much more bothered that he had to.

Your glorious leader has a tactic to kick the most important postwar decision of this country down the road until the pressure builds and she gets her way. There's not a single ounce of public interest in so doing; it's purely to keep your party in government. She's been stopped by Parliament and she's grinding her teeth in public. Bollocks to her.

Vin
 
May won’t do anything of the sort, as nobody would support her as PM in a National Government. She has achieved the unique position in our history of becoming an authoritarian dictator without even the support of a huge section of her own party. The only legitimate action she can take following defeat on Tuesday is to resign and call a General Election.

I do agree something has to be done about Article 50, but the EU won’t allow extension on any terms, we have to have specific grounds for thinking that a new deal can be negotiated. A General Election followed by a Labour government would mean this is possible, without the iniquitous red lines that May has strangled herself with.

Personally, I would rather Parliament votes through an amendment to revoke Article 50 unilaterally, which is a legally valid move. That would allow time for a General Election and/or a second referendum. If, after all the potential chaos and hardship of Brexit which we now know awaits us the people still want to leave, then Article 50 can be triggered again, but only after a new trading and political relationship has already been agreed, with a full Customs Union in place.

Chilcs Do you think Europe will consider a new trading agreement/relationship?
 
Chilcs Do you think Europe will consider a new trading agreement/relationship?
With a different government yes. It’s in their interests as much as ours to keep a trading relationship going, and they’re only saying the current deal is the only possible one because of May’s red lines which ruled out so many factors, notably a Customs Union.
 
With a different government yes. It’s in their interests as much as ours to keep a trading relationship going, and they’re only saying the current deal is the only possible one because of May’s red lines which ruled out so many factors, notably a Customs Union.

I just feel they may just draw time on us. It’s still the UK, even with different leader or party. We’ve had nearly three years.
 
I just feel they may just draw time on us. It’s still the UK, even with different leader or party. We’ve had nearly three years.
We can still revoke Article 50 unilaterally if that happens. No way the current Parliament allows us to crash out, that’s been made very clear.

Edit: And I would guess a new Parliament wouldn’t either.
 
Odds on Britain leaving the EU by 29th March.

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Vin
 
We can still revoke Article 50 unilaterally if that happens. No way the current Parliament allows us to crash out, that’s been made very clear.

Edit: And I would guess a new Parliament wouldn’t either.

The only challenge there is that the ruling was pretty clear. It has to be a genuine revocation. It can't be revoked in order to get Brexit back on track.

The wording of the judgment includes this section: "The revocation must be decided following a democratic process in accordance with national constitutional requirements. This unequivocal and unconditional decision must be communicated in writing to the European Council." (my bold, from document at the ECJ website: https://curia.europa.eu/jcms/upload/docs/application/pdf/2018-12/cp180191en.pdf)

So it can't be used if there's a sign that the decision itself is not unequivocal or unconditional. i.e. it can't be used to kick the can further down the road.

Vin
 
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The only challenge there is that the ruling was pretty clear. It has to be a genuine revocation. It can't be revoked in order to get Brexit back on track.

The wording of the judgment includes this section: "The revocation must be decided following a democratic process in accordance with national constitutional requirements. This unequivocal and unconditional decision must be communicated in writing to the European Council." (my bold, from document at the ECJ website: https://curia.europa.eu/jcms/upload/docs/application/pdf/2018-12/cp180191en.pdf)

So it can't be used if there's a sign that the decision itself is not unequivocal or unconditional. i.e. it can't be used to kick the can further down the road.

Vin
Understood. But that in no way prevents Parliament from triggering it again a couple of years down the line if, say, Rees-Mogg won the hearts of his party and the nation enough to become PM.

If that happens I will emigrate to Ireland.
 
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Understood. But that in no way prevents Parliament from triggering it again a couple of years down the line if, say, Rees-Mogg won the hearts of his party and the nation enough to become PM.

If that happens I will emigrate to Ireland.

Not far enough. Rees-Mogg would want to reintegrate Ireland into the UK.

Vin