I think Watford have had an easy ride for the last 6 weeks or so, where nobody has expected anything of them and, as their manager has made much out of, it has been others that have been under pressure.
Now, it is Watford's turn to be under pressure. Despite the way they have ****ed up since January, Lesster now find themselves in the play-offs with a bit of form and I fancy them to get a result against Watford tonight. Their main problem is that no matter how "in-form" they are they seem to always find ways to ****-up, so I think who comes out of this with a place in the Wembley final is too tight to call.
As for the other semi, I can't see beyond Brighton. Whether you look at momentum, form or stats they have the advantage over Palace and I expect them to comfortably progress.
So, Brighton it is against either Watford or Lesster, so if pushed I'll go for Lesster.
Then in the final I think the lottery will see Poyet's men take a deserved place in the Premiership next season.