Main problem to me is if Renault have time to develop fixes for 'reliability' you can guarantee that the 'fix' will also be a performance improvement!
I think the problem now is that Renault can't ask for reliability fixes until the season starts, so they're going to have a spot of trouble for the first few races as they use the old parts then try the new ones......
I'm sure the Merc and Ferrari had one eye on the last time Renualt were allowed to modify the engines a few years ago, which not only improved reliability but aided performance as well. It's Renault's own fault for getting it wrong, depsite the additional time everyone had to develop the powertrains. They'll just have to live with it for a bit.
The lap charts are conflicting.... so for now the final result is one of these MOST RECENT UPDATE: 14:33:33 [TABLE="class: results, width: 455"] [TR="class: results-header, bgcolor: #C8C3BF"] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]DRIVER[/TD] [TD]TEAM[/TD] [TD]CHASSIS[/TD] [TD]TIME[/TD] [TD]DIFF.[/TD] [TD]#[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Perez[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Force India[/TD] [TD]VJM07[/TD] [TD]1:35.570[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]108[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: zebra, bgcolor: #E5E2DF"] [TD]2.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Alonso[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Ferrari[/TD] [TD]F14 T[/TD] [TD]1:35.634[/TD] [TD]+0.064[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]100[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Ricciardo[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Red Bull Racing[/TD] [TD]RB10[/TD] [TD]1:35.743[/TD] [TD]+0.173[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]65[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: zebra, bgcolor: #E5E2DF"] [TD]4.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Massa[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Williams[/TD] [TD]FW36[/TD] [TD]1:36.507[/TD] [TD]+0.937[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]102[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Button[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]McLaren[/TD] [TD]MP4-29[/TD] [TD]1:36.901[/TD] [TD]+1.331[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]26[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: zebra, bgcolor: #E5E2DF"] [TD]6.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Bianchi[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Marussia F1 Team[/TD] [TD]MR03[/TD] [TD]1:38.092[/TD] [TD]+2.522[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]75[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Hamilton[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Mercedes GP[/TD] [TD]W05[/TD] [TD]1:39.041[/TD] [TD]+3.471[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]89[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: zebra, bgcolor: #E5E2DF"] [TD]8.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Vergne[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Toro Rosso[/TD] [TD]STR9[/TD] [TD]1:39.636[/TD] [TD]+4.066[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]45[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]9.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Gutierrez[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Sauber[/TD] [TD]C33[/TD] [TD]1:39.976[/TD] [TD]+4.406[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]85[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: zebra, bgcolor: #E5E2DF"] [TD]10.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Maldonado[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Lotus[/TD] [TD]E22[/TD] [TD]1:41.762[/TD] [TD]+6.192[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]31[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]11.[/TD] [TD] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="class: driver"]Ericsson[/TD] [TD="class: team-name"]Caterham[/TD] [TD]CT05[/TD] [TD]1:42.516[/TD] [TD]+6.946[/TD] [TD="class: aantalronden, align: right"]35[/TD] [TD="class: result-banden"][/TD] [TD="class: pit"]PIT [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE="class: results, width: 590"] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Sergio Perez[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Force India[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Mer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]VJM07[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:35.570[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"][/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]108[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]2.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Fernando Alonso[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Ferrari[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Fer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]F14 T[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]1:35.634[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]0.064[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]122[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]3.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Daniel Ricciardo[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Red Bull[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Ren.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]RB10[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:35.743[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]0.173[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]66[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]4.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Felipe Massa[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Williams[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Mer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]FW36[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]1:36.507[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]0.937[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]104[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]5.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Jenson Button[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]McLaren[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Mer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]MP4-29[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:36.901[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1.331[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]6.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Jules Bianchi[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Marussia[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Fer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]MR03[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]1:38.092[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]2.522[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]75[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]7.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Lewis Hamilton[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Mercedes[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Mer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]W05[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:39.041[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]3.471[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]89[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]8.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Jean-Eric Vergne[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Toro Rosso[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Ren.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]STR9[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]1:39.636[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]4.066[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]9.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Esteban Gutierrez[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Sauber[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Fer.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]C33[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:39.976[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]4.406[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]106[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]10.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Pastor Maldonado[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Lotus[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]Ren.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede"]E22[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]1:41.613[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]6.043[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #dedede, align: center"]31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]11.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"] please log in to view this image [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Marcus Ericsson[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Caterham[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]Ren.[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef"]CT05[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]1:42.516[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]6.946[/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #efefef, align: center"]55[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
With 2 days to go it still looks like nobody knows who will win the first race. I think Williams look strong at the moment, still unsure about Mercedes and Ferrari.
After two days: [TABLE="width: 40%"] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"] Seq. [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: left"] Make [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"] Laps [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"] km [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]1[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Williams[/TD] [TD="align: right"]231[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1250[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]2[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Force India[/TD] [TD="align: right"]213[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1152[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]3[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Sauber[/TD] [TD="align: right"]195[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1055[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]4[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Mercedes[/TD] [TD="align: right"]178[/TD] [TD="align: right"]963[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]5[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Ferrari[/TD] [TD="align: right"]176[/TD] [TD="align: right"]952[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]6[/TD] [TD="align: left"]McLaren[/TD] [TD="align: right"]161[/TD] [TD="align: right"]871[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]7[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Marussia[/TD] [TD="align: right"]119[/TD] [TD="align: right"]644[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]8[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Toro Rosso[/TD] [TD="align: right"]116[/TD] [TD="align: right"]627[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]9[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Red Bull[/TD] [TD="align: right"]105[/TD] [TD="align: right"]568[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]10[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Caterham[/TD] [TD="align: right"]74[/TD] [TD="align: right"]400[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]11[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Lotus[/TD] [TD="align: right"]62[/TD] [TD="align: right"]335[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE="width: 30%"] [TR] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"]Seq. [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: left"] Engine [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"] Laps [/TD] [TD="bgcolor: #404040, align: center"] km [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]1[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Mercedes[/TD] [TD="align: right"]783[/TD] [TD="align: right"]4237[/TD] [/TR] [TR="bgcolor: #F0F0F0"] [TD="align: center"]2[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Ferrari[/TD] [TD="align: right"]490[/TD] [TD="align: right"]2651[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD="align: center"]3[/TD] [TD="align: left"]Renault[/TD] [TD="align: right"]357[/TD] [TD="align: right"]1932[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
Day two Average KM per engine if we ignore the shortest running team from each group (using Forix data): [TABLE="width: 196"] [TR] [TD]Mercedes[/TD] [TD="align: right"]543[/TD] [TD]km[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ferrari[/TD] [TD="align: right"]617[/TD] [TD]km[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Renault[/TD] [TD="align: right"]326[/TD] [TD]km[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Average KM per engine if we ignore the longest running team from each group (using Forix data): [TABLE="width: 196"] [TR] [TD]Mercedes[/TD] [TD="align: right"]441[/TD] [TD]km[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ferrari[/TD] [TD="align: right"]490[/TD] [TD]km[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Renault[/TD] [TD="align: right"]263[/TD] [TD]km [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
I think the biggest question is how many will start in Aus (considering the 107 rule) and how many, if any, will finish.
By my logic 1 Mercedes, 1 Ferrari, 2 williams, 2 force india's, 1 sauber, 1 mclaren, 1 marussia, no Red Bull,TR, Caterham or Lotus. So 9-10 cars are the bet for me.
I doubt they have, it's also interesting to note that Rosberg car broke during his race sim at the last test.
Red Bull Racing ‏@redbullracing 2h Always be ready. You never know what could pounce from the shadows… pic.twitter.com/y5kL0fLqWK please log in to view this image Red Bull to reveal a massive sandbagging operation
Peter Windsor was track side at Bahrain today and he said the Red Bull had plenty of grip and was very fast through the corners..
http://www1.skysports.com/watch/video/sports/f1/9190223/3rd-test-bahrain-day-2--update Sorry Williams have done a race sim now as well as Mercedes.
Yup... Extreme sandbagging. Those rat b'stards. In all seriousness though... we can analyze testing 'till the cows come home, but what counts is when they all hit the track in anger. Then we'll see what they've been holding back.