Half the first page is stickies so am unsticking this as we will and do have match threads for these games.
More in depth chances of staying in/going to Europa/going out Points - Top Two / Europa / Eliminated 18 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 16 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 15 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 14 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 13 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 12 - 97.5% / 2.5% / 0.0% 11 - 100.0% / 0.0% / 0.0% 10 - 85.7% / 14.3% / 0.0% 9 - 63.6% / 36.4% / 0.0% 8 - 44.2% / 55.8% / 0.0% 7 - 12.0% / 80.0% / 8.0% 6 - 5.3% / 65.8% / 28.9% 5 - 0.0% / 41.5% / 58.5% 4 - 0.0% / 21.1% / 78.9% 3 - 0.0% / 12.5% / 87.5% 2 - 0.0% / 0.0% / 100.0% 1 - 0.0% / 0.0% / 100.0% 0 - 0.0% / 0.0% / 100.0% Not sure on the accuracy as 11 points has more chance of going through than 12 supposedly but could be a statistical anomaly? But 2 more wins in the rest of the CL games and we have a 92% chance of carrying on a European tour! Could be a huge point, especially if when we come to play PSG or Milan in GW 5 and 6, they are already through and play their squad players...
It will be because to get 11 points you've only lost one game (WWWDDL) but for 12 points you could have lost 2 so there's two other teams in the group who could also have 12 points (if the fourth team get no points). I do feel though that in theory you could draw with one team twice and then win one lose one against a different team and end up with a group with 12, 11, 11, 0 points in it but I'd have to work it out to be sure and I can't be bothered.
I agree. In fact I feel that in theory you could [INSERT THEORY] and end up with a group with [INSERT POTENTIAL GROUP STANDINGS] but I'd have to work it out to be sure and I can't be bothered.
