My once-a-year post....
Hi Saint/Pompey: I'll be testing out your theory/ies with real money tonight. Haven't had a pre-season bet this year, and not a fan of any particular team, so I bet week by week on the game I like the look of. I thought the Seahawks should beat the Vikes (on the grounds that the Seattle D was more likely to get to Cousins than the Minny D was to get to Wilson); could be entirely wrong about that, of course.
But the moneyline on a straight Seattle win is an ungenerous 1.69. When you go further down the page, the line for Seattle to win the first half is still 1.68, which I reckon is much the likelier of the two outcomes. As you've both said, Zimmer tends to ridiculously over-cautious first half second-gear negativity, and I'm expecting - and hoping - the Vikes will trail at HT. After that, quite happy for them to win, for both your sakes. The grandkids' college fund is on the line here, so if I'm wrong I probably won't be back.