Off Topic Monday 20th. July 2020

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Morning

12.00 Market Rasen-Pisgah Pike

Each Way @ 7-1 [Bet 365]

To give the 3-10 Fav a race
 
stick said:
SOMETHINABOUTANGELA got a pretty favourable mention from the good Dr on his tour. He has been having a good few near misses but I think this one will oblige.
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Have you been on the System thread again?<laugh>
 
Question to ponder for the morning.

What percentage of debut winners in UK bumpers, manage to follow up on their next bumper run?

What about the percentage when ridden by jockeys claiming?
 
stick said:
SOMETHINABOUTANGELA got a pretty favourable mention from the good Dr on his tour. He has been having a good few near misses but I think this one will oblige.
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Sorry Stick, I've taken you on with Get An Oscar. Purely because she's had a pipe-opener since the break.
 
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Thinking about the discussion re horses that drift and today there are two examples of horses that I fancy that are drifting. One I am put off by and the other I am not.
SOMETHINABOUTANGELA is drifting and from this yard that is definitely a negative, I will let my bet ride but I am no longer confident.
The other horse is GLAMOROUS ANNA 7:00 Windsor 9/1 from 5/1 last night. She should have won a similar race last time over track and trip but she touched the rail and jinked allowing the horse that should have been second to beat her. She is still only a baby and has more to come. She has a 3lb but that is negligible. From such a small yard the drift is not alarming and it wouldn’t surprise me if she didn’t come back in getting nearer to post time.
 
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NassauBoard said:
Question to ponder for the morning.

What percentage of debut winners in UK bumpers, manage to follow up on their next bumper run?

What about the percentage when ridden by jockeys claiming?
Click to expand...

16% under all jockeys
23% under jockeys claiming

surprisingly high for the latter. Fergal is 3 from 14 with follow up attempts (since 2015)

can Stick name the horses?
 
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