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ROGER BOYES
There is (very possibly) something out there
We need transparency to determine if UFOs are the work of Russia or something further afield
Roger Boyes
Wednesday June 30 2021, 12.01am, The Times
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‘What the f*** is that?” The American pilot couldn’t believe his eyes. “Look at that — it’s rotating!” Not a plane, not a bird but a high-speed unidentified flying object. After seven decades of denying the existence of UFOs the Pentagon has just published a review of 144 sightings made between 2004 and March of this year. And it admits that at least 18 of them are pretty weird, staying stationary in high wind, moving against the wind, manoeuvring abruptly and quickly without any obvious means of propulsion. There were some near misses. Military aircraft reported intense bursts of radio frequency energy emitted from the passing craft.
There’s a good reason why it has taken the Pentagon so long to draw up a sober balance of UFO activity, now rebranded as UAP, unidentified aerial phenomena. In the Cold War, when sightings were at their peak, the real concern of the US government was not an imminent invasion of little green men but of Russian attack, a thermonuclear war, mass panic.
In 1953 the CIA brought together a panel of experts chaired by a mathematical physicist, Howard Robertson, not so much to investigate what was happening in the skies as to reduce the flow of UFO reports. There was a danger that under the cover of supposed UFO activity, Soviet spy planes could operate unchecked. It was critical in the stand-off with the Kremlin that the US government should be seen to be in full control of its airspace. Besides, some sightings were almost certainly glimpses of the American U-2 spy plane, still a secret project.
So the government mission was to pooh-pooh the ufologists as cranks and fantasists. The sightings were attributed to weather balloons, to swamp gases from decomposing vegetation, and many of the people who sounded the alarm were written off as being in the grip of Cold War end-of-times anxiety.
But some respectable scientists saw that UFOs should be taken seriously. On the way to lunch at the Los Alamos lab canteen in the summer of 1950, the Italian-American Nobel prize-winning nuclear physicist Enrico Fermi was thinking aloud with his colleagues about the rush of reported UFOs.
It had to be a given, he mused, that there was sentient life elsewhere in the universe. There were, after all, hundreds of billions of stars in the Milky Way and there was a very high probability that a few of them had Earth-like qualities. Many were far older than Earth and could conceivably have developed interstellar travel. And yet there had been no credible evidence of alien interest.
His double-brained colleagues nodded, focusing perhaps more on lunch. Fermi fell silent and then suddenly burst out: “But where is everybody?” Meaning, the aliens. This later became known as the Fermi paradox and served as one of the legitimising planks of UFO researchers as they fought against government attempts to close down the debate.
The hunt for UFO debris and multiple-sourced observation became more than a crazy crusade and a question rather about where knowledge ends. If there were so many UFOs buzzing the skies, how was it that none had crashed? What was their intent — to plant probes and beacons? Were they perhaps colonisers (and, if so, why hadn’t they been reading the newspapers about the likelihood of nuclear apocalypse)?
Eventually Hollywood took up, and mangled, some of these issues. Directors divided aliens into good (
ET: The Extra-Terrestrial,
Close Encounters of the Third Kind), and bad (
The Thing,
Alien,
Independence Day). The official view had shifted from the fear of aliens being in some way a threat to public order to the trivialisation of the extraterrestrial domain. Not a massive step forward.
Now a newly transparent Pentagon has declared the UFO to be, in effect, a matter of national security. The pilots who have been noticing these freakish events are not epistemological scholars. They don’t fret too much about unknowable unknowns. They, according to the Pentagon review, often back their claims with radar results and sightings on the ground; together, these findings worry the air force.
Unexplained events may be down to enemy disruption of technology. The spoofing, say, of US radar and onboard instruments into registering abnormally high speeds and sudden shifts in direction. Russian electronic warfare is advanced and western fighters, loaded with sensors, could have become vulnerable. But nobody thinks the Russians have got to that point yet and it can’t begin to explain the aerial encounters in the 1950s.
To turn UFOs into I(dentified)FOs, money has to be invested in a database that can make accurate comparisons between what happened in the skies in the 1950s and what is happening now. At the top of the to-do list is to check the defences of air bases, not just in the US but in Britain too. An unusually high amount of UFO activity has been registered there. That could be down to collection bias: that is, the large presence of alert US aircraft patrols looking out for suspicious behaviour.
It could be that the usual suspects, Russia and perhaps China, are much further ahead in their military intrusions than anyone in the West calculated and that we have been altogether too cocky about our technical superiority.
Or perhaps, just perhaps, on the wildest fringes of probability, some aliens are trying to get up close. What on earth would they want to talk to us about? Maybe they don’t like what we’re doing to our planet. Maybe they want to make us an offer.