It's because so many Mousers put money on LPC winning the EPL every year, that it brings down the odds. The bookies' price is not an indicator or how likely 'Pool are to win the EPL, it's merely an indicator of how deluded their fans are.
Brendan Rodgers will definitely add a bit of zip to Liverpool, but 1st or 2nd? Dont fink so! He's got too much to work on his hands with a side that needs a fair few new players which doesn't seem to be happening at the moment.
You can only applaud the arrogance / delusion. Concentrate on getting back in the european qualification positions first...nah. Concentrate on top 4 and C.L footie first...nah Let's go straight from practically mid table to league winners based on what??? Bringing in a fairly inexperienced manager and signing players from Swansea? Least Gerrard isn't getting any older though....oh wait.... If they couldn't win the league with Mascherano, Alonso, a good Gerrard, Torres etc I doubt a team with Henderson and Downing is going to be pulling up trees.
They haven't learnt from last season then, Liverpool had a terrible domestic season. It will be more difficult in the league for Liverpool this season. Every team has strengthened except for them. That Liverpool fan is stupid for putting so much money down on a bet.
What I can't understand is why the bookies have lowered the odds. I understand it against traditional methods, the more bets you take the lower the odds go- but when something is so unlikely- to the point of it being essentially 99% not possible in terms of trends over the last 20 years- why not raise the odds to encourage more punters in?
Because the bookies will be bankrupted if 'Pool did happen to win. Although it's extremely unlikely that 'Pool will win the EPL, it's not impossible. Chelsea winning the CL is an example of how something can be so utterly unlikely yet still happen
It's weighted by the money they have to pay out and when 40% of the money coming in for the winner of the Premier League has been put on one team that are 25/1 their market has to react. Trends over the last 20 years don't mean much, the bookies have to accept that they're not always as informed as the punters so when a big bet goes on they'd be fools not to take notice of a bet that size. The guy may have known that Liverpool were about to go out and spend £80mill on new players, which might sound unlikely but so is someone putting a £44k bet on a 25/1 shot in the first place. It's easy enough for us to dismiss it as 0 possibility because it's not our money but **** happens in football. No one expected Montpellier to win Ligue 1 last season and that student who lost his loan on a bet certainly didn't see a team losing a 4-0 lead with 10 minutes to go.
Only at 2-0 down with 10 men were we at ridiculous odds to win though. Throughout we never dipped below 10/1 which isn't bad given the teams that were left in the competition at the QF & SF stage. There is more chance of Millwall getting promoted and knocking on the door of Europe the following season than there is Liverpool WINNING the Premier League
