Kauto Star is confirmed as on target for his attempt at an unprecedented 5th King George with Ruby Walsh on board.
Can he do it? In my eyes this is an emphatic 'yes he can'. If he is able to reproduce his Betfair form then he is certain to be very very close indeed.
Long Run is entitled to improve, but, as Paul Nicholls suggests today, there must be some doubt that he can find enough. The fact is that he looked beaten a long way from home in the Betfair Chase and that must be a worry for his supporters.
The question for Kauto is whether he is over his Haydock exertions. He had a hard race no doubt, but so did Long Run. It must be remembered that he has run in the Betfair every year he has won the King George. The one time he has been beaten was 12 months ago when he bypassed the Haydock race. He was fitter this time but that is not necessarily a negative. I think it is possibly being built up too much. It is hardly as if it has never been done before. I fully understand the arguments as to why it might come too soon but the fact is that Long Run has the same 'problem' to overcome, even if he is considerably younger.
I'm delighted that he is taking his chance. I feared after Denman's retirement that he might head straight to the Gold Cup but connections are giving him his shot at glory. He was clearly below par last year and I seriously think that he has a massive chance of making it 5. At the current prices he looks a standout EW bet to nothing at 9/2. He placed last year when he was ill, so 12 months on he must surely be in the 3. The only two I can see beating him are Long Run and Captain Chris, but at this stage he would certainly be my idea of the best bet in the race, and probably the winner too.