If the bookies adopted this analysis in setting odds, they'd be bankrupt Convert those percentages into odds and there's some damn good bets
Bookies odds are essentially set by what the punters will bet on. So you are asserting that the average punter has better insight than whoever performed that analysis. Another example of undervaluing expertise?
https://www.not606.com/threads/euros-sweepstake.393233/ Charity sweepstake for the Euros if anyone interested. Limited space left.
I think you have to applaud Southgate's trolling, to be honest. Picks 17 right-backs, then plays a centre-half there.
Gives him an opportunity to have a look at them in a friendly. Hasn't been that many of them for the national sides this year, IIRC. He may also wish to protect/rest some of the squad after a long season.
Perhaps the incumbent large bookies do kindred analysis, and then use the probabilities as an input to a function F which generates the initial odds. "Convert those percentages into odds and there's some damn good bets" State your function F,, so that we can see what initial odds you would generate for the previously stated probabilities.
I get that, but it means we line up the first game without playing a game together in a while. If they are not fit now then they shouldn't be picked.
