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If I gave you £500

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by NassauBoard, Jan 31, 2014.

  1. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    Only winding you up Nass ;)
     
    #21
  2. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Nice double Mark. Well done
     
    #22
  3. Reebok

    Reebok YTS Mod
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    LMFAO - you WUM you <laugh>

    To be fair, I'd outbid you, and add him to my team working Blackpool beach :D
     
    #23
  4. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    <laugh><laugh><laugh><laugh><laugh><laugh>.
     
    #24
  5. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    Mossey Joe for the Foxhunters at 6s (backed him at 10s at the weekend). Honestly believe that if he's 100% he only needs to jump around.
     
    #25
  6. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    Big Shu might have something to say about that.

    edit: or maybe not seen as its a different race <laugh>

    getting mixed up with the crosscountry there
     
    #26
  7. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    Agree re Mossey Joe
     
    #27
  8. QuarterMoonII

    QuarterMoonII Economist

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    Where did the £500 come from? Your Bank of Nigeria account?

    According to the point spread in Las Vegas, the Superbowl XLVIII favourites are the Denver Broncos by 2.5 points; therefore, the bet should be Seattle Seahawks +2.5. For me I think that the Seahawks will win outright as the old adage is &#8220;defence wins Championships&#8221; and the game sees Peyton Manning&#8217;s top ranked pass offense against Seattle&#8217;s top ranked pass defence, which also led the League in interceptions; plus the Seahawks have the better running game and they are evenly matched defending the run.

    If QB Russell Wilson does not freeze this could be a high scoring game, so the bet might be Total Points over 47, so who wins does not matter. If he chokes it will be a blowout.
     
    #28
  9. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    I think the game hinges on Russell Wilson. The Broncos have a strong Rushing defence which should definitely stop the excellent Marshawn Lynch wreaking havoc and I think Russell Wilson needs to step up to the plate and make big plays in the air.

    If he doesn't then I think the experience of Peyton wins it for the Broncos.

    If it turns into a high scoring game then I'd be shocked if the Broncos don't come out on top.
     
    #29
  10. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Nah, I sold Stick a dodgy car!
     
    #30

  11. Boomer

    Boomer New Member

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    Great shout that Mark!
     
    #31
  12. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    Leave the effing NFL to the Champ lads
     
    #32
  13. CaptainPops

    CaptainPops Well-Known Member

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    £100 e/w on whatever race the Liquidator runs in at the festival (waiting until the day)

    £150 e/w on Teaforthree 25/1 Grand National (NRFB or NRNB) . Taking a risk in a race that demands quite a lot of luck but would be fun and the race is always the greatest spectacle for me...
     
    #33
  14. smokethedeadbadger

    smokethedeadbadger Well-Known Member

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    Did you hear about Floyd Mayweather's bet? He's put $10,400,000 on Denver to win
     
    #34
  15. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    What a dick. What odds did he get?
     
    #35
  16. QuarterMoonII

    QuarterMoonII Economist

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    Useful statistics for bettors:

    In 47 previous Superbowls, the Las Vegas point spread has only seen backers of the losing team still win their bet on 6 occasions (all more than six point favourites): Superbowl X &#8211; Pittsburgh 21-17 Dallas +6.5; XXIII &#8211; San Francisco 20-16 Cincinnati +7; XXX &#8211; Dallas 27-17 Pittsburgh +13.5; XXXVIII &#8211; New England 32-29 Carolina +7; XXXIX &#8211; New England 24-21 Philadelphia +6.5; XLIII &#8211; Pittsburgh 27-23 Arizona +7. There have been two &#8216;ties&#8217;: XXXIV &#8211; St Louis 23-16 Tennessee +7; XXXI &#8211; Green Bay 35-21 New England +14.

    Las Vegas favourites have won and covered in twenty-two of the previous Superbowls; but only three of the last ten.

    So if you are backing Denver, take them to cover the point spread; but if you are backing Seattle, back them to win outright as the odds are better than with a start of less than a field goal.
     
    #36
  17. theinconvenienttruth4

    theinconvenienttruth4 Active Member

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    I know Quarter Seattle opened -1 and then it went to Denver +2 within about 40 minutes

    I meant doing Seattle -2.5 on the alternative handicap markets for a bit more juice

    Also like Denver half time, Seattle full time but my 5 ton would be on the -2.5
     
    #37
  18. QuarterMoonII

    QuarterMoonII Economist

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    I have no idea where you are getting Seattle as a two-and-a-half point favourite, theinconvenienttruth4. Ladbrokes will give various &#8216;alternative&#8217; point spreads but Seattle giving two-and-a-half does not appear to be one.

    On Oddschecker, every single British bookmaker has Denver odds on favourites outright (5/6 at Ladbrokes) and you can get Seattle at 6/5 (StanJames) or 11/10 (Wm Hill, Coral). On the point spread, Seattle are plus two points with most firms.

    Go to VegasInsider and you will find that Denver are generally a two-and-a-half point favourite on the other side of The Pond. The game opened with no handicap at all (PK = pick) but the dimwits have piled on Peyton Manning.
     
    #38
  19. theinconvenienttruth4

    theinconvenienttruth4 Active Member

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    I know that Denver are the main point spread 2 point favs bud but as you say there I mean on the alternative point spread

    http://www.bet365.com/home/FlashGen4/WebConsoleApp.asp?&cb=10881616420 (dont know if that link will work)

    Also im pretty sure Seattle did open fav but lasted about 20 minutes, however im not certain.

    Your right though about the dimwits haha and the fact that FMJ is on the Broncos makes my Seattle punt stronger giving his track record. IE The Michigan Wolverines debacle
     
    #39
  20. theinconvenienttruth4

    theinconvenienttruth4 Active Member

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    No link doesn't work just takes you to the homepage, but its on there mate alternative point spread Seattle -2.5 at 6/5
     
    #40

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