On current form and the major injuries suffered lately I would agree with most of the analysis from terryb above except I think we may struggle against Reading and Forest but turn Wednesday, Brighton and Bournemouth into draws. This gives 82
We're currently five points below my estimation. Predictions for the last matches:- Win - Forest Draw - Watford Lose - Leicester, Millwall, Barnsley
Scary how correct you were mate. Not sure I want to know how you will predict the rest of the season (play offs). Well done
When I predicted 76 points there were 17 games left. In the last 12 games we have scored 14 points at an average of 1.166666 pts per game. Carry that forward through the last 5 games (5 x 1.166666 = 5.833 points) and you end up with 75.83 pts. On paper I am currently 0.17 pts away from perfection. And what does that tell me? It tells me that I am a sad bastard (in every sense of the word).
Between 74 and 76 points. We have 9 points over those outside the play-offs and 7 over Reading with 5 games to go. Assuming we get 5 or 6 points (bad case scenario) they would need to win all their games to overtake us. Granted there are 3 teams 9 points behind us but that still remains a very tall order. Play-offs seem odds on.
Not as many as this lot sadly. http://www.qpr.co.uk/news/article/080414-qpr-girls-county-cup-final-1477828.aspx?
Can't see us getting more than 4 points for the rest of the season but I can't be arsed to look up what we have now.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/championship/table We have 70 points, the three closest outside the play-off positions have 61 with another two on 59 points. Even if we were to get only 4 points they would still need 13 points from five games to catch us (4 wins and a draw) and as now we are comfortably ahead on goal difference. Nailed on imho, zero risk of failing to make the play-offs.
Then we only have to outscore one team over two play off legs and win at Wembley. Piece of piss, on current form.
Its not just one team that needs to do that, its a couple from 4 or 5 so its entirely possible they do it. Plus there's the fact that we may not win another game.
Our scoring is the real problem, only Brighton and the bottom 6 sides have scored less than us, 49 goals in 41 games is pretty poor going, still if we win all 3 games in the play offs 1-0 who will complain? To use a 10 minute tea break this is the 6 game form of teams 3rd to 9th Derby DWLWLW - 10 points R'S LWWDLL - 7 points Wigan WLDDWL - 7 points Reading - DWLDWL - 8 points Brighton - LLLDDW - 5 points Ipswich - LWWDLW - 10 points Bournemouth - LWWWWW - 15 points Not much form in those sides apart from Bournemouth....we should fear none of those teams....
Will try to make this clearer. In the matches that I originally predicted i forecast wins against Reading, Leeds & Blackpool. This would gave given us 9 points. However, we gained two points from them. I also said we would draw with Charlton, Middlesbrough, Wigan & Blackburn. This would have given four points but we won 6 points from them. Hence, how I arrived at a loss of 5 points on my old predictions. Where I was right was in predicting defeat to Wednesday, Brighton & Bournemouth. IF my new forecasts are correct we will only collect another four points from the remaining matches against the ten I originally expected.
We need one win going on current form, two to be certain but we are perfectly capable of not winning again. We may not have to fear them as we could well not be in the playoffs. Ipswich Bournemouth and the two below us will be above us unless we win a game.
