7.25 Hamilton Beaumont's Party 9/1 I cannot believe he has drifted to 9/1 and I can't leave him unbacked at what looks an absolutely massive price. Since joining Brian Ellison, he has been in absolutely tremendous form winning very easily on his first two starts for connections (latterly beating a couple of subsequent winners in Tres Coronas and Duke Of Clarence) which saw him rise 16lb to his current mark of 94. He ran another fine race in defeat off this mark 8 days ago at Chester when things didn't really go right for him but he still was running on the finish to be beaten only 2 lengths. The form of that race has taken a major boost today at York with Sir John Hawkwood winning under a 6lb penalty and I definitely feel he has enough in the locker to be competitive off this mark. He shouldn't have any issue with the ground and Dale Swift makes his way from York to Hamilton for this one ride which looks very telling. In belting form at the moment, he doesn't look to have hit the ceiling with regards to his mark yet and 9/1 looks a great each way price in my opinion.
There seems an obsession with Irish jocks from Carberry to Condon to ride these cruising waiting rides,from the front or from behind. If Geraghty had of kicked on before two out he would have had a buffer of distance to soak up that mistake.The problem is when you cruise up on terms and make a mistake you are basically ****ed. Shocking ride and worse for connections since the cash was down and the horse was clearly primed and should have won. Handicapper going to kill him so he best turn out soon.
not been on much been very busy Mates went to York today ask for advice, didnt look at cards, sent them ROTO's picks for York Over the moon with Esteaming Thanks very much young man stay frosty
8.00 Hamilton Bogsnog 9/1 The ground is a little bit of an unknown buy Kristin Stubbs's extremely consistent and progressive looking 3 year old looks vastly overpriced to me. A horse who I actually tipped up at 80/1 when runner up on his 2nd start, Bogsnog hasn't been out of the first 2 in his 6 subsequent outings winning the last twice and although a lot of his Maiden form doesn't read well I was really impressed with his handicap debut success on his first start for Kristin Stubbs since taking over for her mother. As a 2 year old, tactics were for him to try and make all and he was headed late on a number of occasions but a more restrained ride saw him follow up his Maiden success on his final start as a 2 year old when scoring off a mark of 75 last month. Under the excellent Graham Lee who knows this horse well and rides tonight, Bogsnog was dropped in behind the pace and showed a tremendous attitude under top weight to squeeze through a very narrow gap to get up late on to score by a neck. His attitude and determination were very admirable and he was in command as he hit the front. That form is a little mixed with a few disappointments but the 3rd home scored impressively on his only start since off a 4lb higher mark and I think Bogsnog's 4lb rise to a mark of 79 looks fair. That race won't be anywhere near as competitive as what he faces tonight in a race where he again has to shoulder top weight but now he has found the winning thread I expect him to keep on progressing and 9/1 looks a big price to me.
I remember the day he won the first of his 4 where he was absolutely punted like there was no tomorrow. They interviewed Candlish before the race and she said she had no idea where the money came from. Hate that ****!
yeah probably all the yard's money. Won with plenty in hand there too, could be a Hunt Ball over hurdles type story
