Let's target 85 points for the season so that we can win the league. We should get at least half the points from games against the other likely members of the top six (because we have to be better than them to win the league) say 17 out of 30. That leaves 68 from the other 28 matches. So against the other top 5, five wins, two draws, three losses. Against the rest 21 wins, five draws, two losses.
Map this on to our first six fixtures and I reckon 13 points would be the form of champions. 10 or 11 would keep us on target for top four.
I'm always optimistic and I can't see why this is not possible: we could have done it last year with a bit more consistency against thee bottom teams and a bit more luck against the top ones. But margins in this league are very small - if we perform a little worse than last year we will only just make top half
COYS