Dare to dream?

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Onionman said:
Betfair isn't like that, as they aren't bookmakers. Betfair exchange betting sets you against me, your money against mine. They just take a percentage from the winner. They have been shown, in study after study, to be astoundingly accurate. Accurate enough that in a paper from Zurich University, they show that a viable and profitable betting strategy is blindly to bet when bookmakers' odds exceed Betfair's. (I STRONGLY recommend that anyone interested in odds and betting downloads it free from http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1503350 )

I also feel, however, that 42% has a more reasonable ring to it. And it's not bad at all.

Vin
Click to expand...

Bedtime reading, thanks! :)

Aside from all this, I feel very positive just based on our defensive record, which boasts some wonderful stats when we're at full strength.

On stats, a ratio of chances created to shots allowed would be interesting to see. Over a season that would be a great performance marker to compare to other clubs around us.
 
With the fixtures left, I think Citeh, Chelsea, Liverhampton and Spurs look like games we could lose (but may not), the other 12 are all entirely winnable based on form of all involved. There will probably be some upsets but these go both ways. 76 points would see us comfortably in the top 4, probably third. I also think City are catchable so even 2nd could be ours if we can keep the momentum and get our injured players back.
Unfortunately, even I think my bet on us winning the league isn't going to come off, but it's not dead yet :emoticon-0105-wink:
 
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